41 research outputs found

    An Alternative Explanation for the Resource Curse: The Income Effect Channel

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    The paper provides an alternative explanation for the “resource curse” based on the income effect resulting from high government current spending in resource rich economies. Using a simple life cycle framework, we show that private investment in the non-resource sector is adversely affected if private agents expect extra government current spending financed through resource sector revenues in the future. This income channel of the resource curse is stronger for countries with lower degrees of openness and forward altruism. We empirically validate these findings by estimating non-hydrocarbon sector growth regressions using a panel of 25 oil-exporting countries over 1992–2005.resource curse, fiscal policy, investment and growth

    An Alternative Explanation for the Resource Curse: The Income Effect Channel

    Get PDF
    The paper provides an alternative explanation for the “resource curse” based on the income effect resulting from high government current spending in resource rich economies. Using a simple life cycle framework, we show that private investment in the non-resource sector is adversely affected if private agents expect extra government current spending financed through resource sector revenues in the future. This income channel of the resource curse is stronger for countries with lower degrees of openness and forward altruism. We empirically validate these findings by estimating non-hydrocarbon sector growth regressions using a panel of 25 oil-exporting countries over 1992–2005

    An Alternative Explanation for the Resource Curse: The Income Effect Channel

    Get PDF
    The paper provides an alternative explanation for the “resource curse” based on the income effect resulting from high government current spending in resource rich economies. Using a simple life cycle framework, we show that private investment in the non-resource sector is adversely affected if private agents expect extra government current spending financed through resource sector revenues in the future. This income channel of the resource curse is stronger for countries with lower degrees of openness and forward altruism. We empirically validate these findings by estimating non-hydrocarbon sector growth regressions using a panel of 25 oil-exporting countries over 1992–2005

    An Alternative Explanation for the Resource Curse: The Income Effect Channel

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    A New Methodology for Estimating the Output Gap in the United States

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    A Model of Sovereign Debt in Democracies

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    A Model of Sovereign Debt in Democracies

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    This paper develops and empirically tests a political economy model of sovereign debt. The main incentive for repaying sovereign debt is to maintain access to international capital markets. However, in a democracy, one generation may choose default regardless of its consequences for future generations. An old generation with little concern for its country''s access to capital markets can force a default on debt if it has the majority of voters. On the other hand, if the younger generation is more numerous, it can force repayment of previously defaulted debt. Other voter heterogeneities, such as in income, can generate similar results.Sovereign debt;Economic models;Data analysis;capital markets, international capital markets, international capital, external debt, access to international capital, access to international capital markets, risk aversion, debt crises, international debt, foreign debt, debt default, external liabilities, domestic debt, access to capital markets, debt outstanding, debtor country, total external debt, access to funds, sovereign debtor, debt defaults, credit rating, sovereign defaults, currency crises, stabilization policies, international loans

    A New Methodology for Estimating the Output Gap in the United States

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