Parameters Affecting Length of Stay Among Neurosurgical Patients in an Intensive Care Unit

Aim: to determine the predictive factors on the length of stay of neurosurgical patients in the ICU setting. Methods: all patients admitted to the neurosurgical ICU between February 1 and July 31, 2011 were recruited. Patient demographics and clinical data for each variable were collected within 30 minutes of admission. The ICU length of stay was recorded and analyzed by linear regression model with statistical significance at p-value <0.05. Results: there were 276 patients admitted, of whom 89.1% were elective cases. The mean (95% CI) and median (min-max) of ICU length of stay were 2.36 (2.09-2.63) and 2 (1-25) days. The variables associated with ICU length of stay and their percent change (95% CI) were the Glasgow Coma Scale motor subscore (GCSm), 6.72% (-11.20 to -2.01) lower for every 1 point score change; blood pH, 1.16% (0.11 to 2.21) higher for every 0.01 unit change; and emergency admission type, 58.30% (29.16 to 94.0) higher as compared to elective admission. Conclusion: the GCSm, pH and emergency admission were found to be the main predictive variables of neurosurgical patient length of stay in the intensive care unit, however, the model should be further explored in a larger sample size and using subgroup analysis

Sustav APACHE II. kao klinički prediktor u neurokirurškoj jedinici intenzivnog liječenja

The APACHE II scoring system is approved for its benchmarking and mortality predictions, but there are only a few articles published to demonstrate it in neurosurgical patients. Therefore, this study was performed to acknowledge this score and its predictive performance to hospital mortality in a tertiary referral neurosurgical intensive care unit (ICU). All patients admitted to the Neurosurgical ICU from February 1 to July 31, 2011 were recruited. The parameters indicated in APACHE II score were collected. The adjusted predicted risk of death was calculated and compared with the death rate observed. Descriptive statistics including the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was performed. The results showed that 276 patients were admitted during the mentioned period. The APACHE II score was 16.56 (95% CI, 15.84-17.29) and 19.08 (95% CI, 15.40- 22.76) in survivors and non-survivors, while the adjusted predicted death rates were 13.39% (95% CI, 11.83-14.95) and 17.49% (95% CI, 9.81-25.17), respectively. The observed mortality was only 4.35%. The area under the ROC of APACHE II score to the hospital mortality was 0.62 (95% CI, 0.44-0.79). In conclusion, not only the APACHE II score in neurosurgical patients indicated low severity, but its performance to predict hospital mortality was also inferior. Additional studies of predicting mortality among these critical patients should be undertaken.Sustav APACHE II. odobren je kao mjerilo i prediktor smrtnosti, no samo se nekoliko članaka bavi njegovom primjenom kod neurokirurških bolesnika. Stoga smo proveli ovo istraživanje kako bismo potvrdili ovaj sustav i njegovu sposobnost predviđanja bolničke smrtnosti u referentnoj tercijarnoj neurokirurškoj jedinici intenzivnog liječenja (JIL). U istraživanje su bili uključeni svi bolesnici primljeni u neurokiruršku JIL od 1. veljače do 31. srpnja 2011. godine. Prikupljeni su podaci koji se odnose na parametre sustava APACHE II. Izračunat je prilagođeni rizik smrti i uspoređen sa zabilježenom stopom smrtnosti. U analizi je primijenjena deskriptivna statistika uključujući ROC. Rezultati su pokazali da je primljeno 276 bolesnika. Zbir APACHE II. bio je 16,56 (95% CI, 15,84-17,29) za preživjele i 19,08 (95% CI, 15,40-22,76) za umrle, dok je prilagođena predviđena stopa smrtnosti bila 13,39% (95% CI, 11,83-14,95) odnosno 17,49% (95% CI, 9,81-25,17). Zabilježena stopa smrtnosti bila je samo 4,35%. Područje ispod ROC zbira APACHE II. za bolničku smrtnost iznosila je 0,62 (95% CI, 0,44-0,79). U zaključku, ne samo da je zbir APACHE II. pokazao nisku težinu kod neurokirurških bolesnika, nego je i njegov rezultat u predviđanju bolničke smrtnosti bio nezadovoljavajući. Treba provesti daljnja istraživanja prediktora smrtnosti kod ovih kritičnih bolesnika

Relation of peritubular capillary features to class of lupus nephritis

BACKGROUND: Experimental studies have linked peritubular capillary (PTC) loss with progression of chronic kidney disease. Minimal information on PTC in lupus nephritis (LN) has been reported. We therefore evaluated the PTC area in different classes of LN and determined if specific clinical characteristics correlated with PTC changes. METHODS: Renal biopsies of 253 subjects with LN (categorized using the ISN/RPS 2003 classification) and 13 normal renal donors (the controls) were retrospectively evaluated for PTC morphology by staining for CD31 with immunohistochemistry method. The percent positive area of PTC (% PTC) was correlated with serum and urinary measures of renal function and renal pathology. RESULTS: Significant PTC loss was observed in all classes of LN compared to controls. The % PTC area was highest in controls (7.64±1.48 %) with levels of 1.95±1.50, 4.16±3.85, 4.19±4.45, 5.02±1.79, and 4.45±3.75 in classes II, III, IV, IV combined with V and V, respectively (all p values < 0.05). The lowest PTC density was observed in class II LN, but this may be because some cases with worse classes of LN showed increased PTC density due to abnormally dilated capillaries associated with acute inflammation and angiogenesis. %PTC was increased in those with hematuria (5.8±5.2 vs. 3.6±3.4 %, red blood cells 3-10 vs. < 3 cells/high power field, p < 0.05) and was reduced in those with a moderately declined renal function (3.29±3.40 vs. 4.42±4.12, eGFR 15-59 vs. ≥ 60 ml/min/1.73 m2, p < 0.05). Nephrotic-range proteinuria also trended to be associated with lower PTC density although it did not reach statistical significance (3.1±2.6 vs. 4.9±4.5, p= 0.067). CONCLUSIONS: LN is associated with PTC loss and the severity correlates with reduced renal function. Further studies are needed to investigate whether a loss of PTC can predict long term renal outcomes in LN. ELECTRONIC SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL: The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12882-016-0388-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users

Association between periductal fibrosis and bile duct dilatation among a population at high risk of cholangiocarcinoma: A cross-sectional study of cholangiocarcinoma screening in Northeast Thailand

Objectives To assess associations between periductal fibrosis (PDF) and bile duct dilatation (BDD) in ultrasonography (US) screening of population at risk of cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) due to residence in an endemic area for Opisthorchis viverrini. CCA survival rates are low, and early identification of risk factors is essential. BDD is one symptom that can identify patients at risk of CCA. Detection of PDF by US can also identify at-risk patients, at an earlier stage of CCA development. Identification of association between PDF and BDD will inform screening practices for CCA risk, by increasing the viability of PDF screening for CCA risk. Setting Nine tertiary care hospitals in Northeast Thailand. Design Cross-sectional study. Participants Study subjects in the Cholangiocarcinoma Screening and Care Program (CASCAP) in Northeast Thailand. CASCAP inclusion criteria are all residents of Northeast Thailand aged ≥40 years. Participants are recruited through CCA screening centres and through primary healthcare units. So far, 394 026 have been enrolled. Methods PDF and BDD were identified through US. PDF was categorised into three groups, PDF1, 2 and 3, depending on their high echo locality in the peripheral, segmental and main bile duct, respectively. Associations between PDF and BDD were determined by adjusted OR and 95% CI using multiple logistic regression. Results BDD was found in 6.6% of PDF3, 1.7% of PDF2 and 1.4% of PDF1 cases. Among PDF cases, especially in PDF3, BDD was found in men more than in women (8.9% and 4.6%, respectively). Compared with non-PDF, the association between PDF3 and BDD was highly significant (adjusted OR=5.74, 95%CI 4.57 to 7.21, p<0.001). Conclusions Our findings reveal that there is a relationship between PDF and BDD, which is associated with CCA. Therefore, PDF can also be an indicator for suspected CCA diagnosis through USThe study was also supported by the Data Management and Statistical Analysis Center (DAMASAC), Faculty of Public Health, KKU, Thailand. This work was supported by KKU through CASCAP (Grant No. CASCAP 1/60), the National Research Council of Thailand through the Medical Research Network of the Consortium of Thai Medical Schools (Grant No. MRF.59-076) and National Research Council of Thailand (NRCT/2559-134)

Utilization of full postnatal care services among rural Myanmar women and its determinants: a cross-sectional study [version 1; referees: 2 approved]

Background: Mothers and their newborns are vulnerable to threats to their health and survival during the postnatal period. Full postnatal care (PNC) uptake decreases maternal deaths and is also essential for first 1,000 days of newborn’s life, but PNC usage is usually inadequate in rural areas. Little is known about the full PNC utilization among rural Myanmar women. This study, therefore, aimed to study the situation of the utilization of full PNC and examine its determinants. Methods: This community-based cross-sectional study was conducted in selected villages of the Magway Region, Myanmar. A total of 500 married women who had children aged under 2 years were selected using multistage cluster sampling and interviewed with semi-structured questionnaires. The determinants of full PNC usage were identified by generalized estimating equation (GEE) under a logistic regression framework. Results: Among 500 rural women, around a quarter (25.20%; 95% confidence interval (CI), 21.58-29.21%) utilized full PNC. Multivariable analysis revealed that factors associated with full PNC usage included mothers attaining educational level of secondary or higher (adjusted odds ratio (AOR), 2.16; 95% CI, 1.18-3.94), belonging to higher income level (AOR, 2.02; 95% CI, 1.11-3.68), having male involvement (AOR, 2.19; 95% CI, 1.02-4.69), being of low birth order (i.e. the first birth) (AOR, 3.26; 95% CI, 1.80-5.91), and having awareness of postnatal danger signs (AOR, 2.10; 95% CI, 1.15-3.83). Moreover, the presence of misconceptions on postnatal practice was identified as a strong barrier to adequate PNC usage (AOR, 0.12; 95% CI, 0.04-0.36). Conclusion: Most of the rural women practiced inadequate PNC in Myanmar. Maternal healthcare services at rural areas should be intensively promoted, particularly among women who had high birth order (greater number of births). Health education regarding perinatal misconceptions and danger signs, and benefits of full PNC services usage should be emphasized and urgently extended

Evaluating a Preoperative Protocol that Includes Magnetic Resonance Imaging for Lymph Node Metastasis in The Cholangiocarcinoma Screening and Care Program (CASCAP) in Thailand.

BACKGROUND: Treatment planning especially liver resection in cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) depends on the extension of tumor and lymph node metastasis which is included as a key criterion for operability. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) offers a rapid and powerful tool for the detection of lymph node metastasis (LNM) and in the current manuscript is assessed as a critical tool in the preoperative protocol for liver resection for treatment of CCA. However, the accuracy of MRI to detect LNM from CCA had yet to be comprehensively evaluated. METHODS: The accuracy of MRI to detect LNM was assessed in a cohort of individuals with CCA from the Cholangiocarcinoma Screening and Care Program (CASCAP), a screening program designed to reduce CCA in Northeastern Thailand by community-based ultrasound (US) for CCA. CCA-positive individuals are referred to one of the nine tertiary centers in the study to undergo a preoperative protocol that included enhanced imaging by MRI. Additionally, these individuals also underwent lymph node biopsies for histological confirmation of LNM (the gold standard ) to determine the accuracy of the MRI results. RESULTS: MRI accurately detected the presence or absence of LNM in only 29 out of the 51 CCA cases (56.9%, 95% CI 42.2-70.7), resulting in a sensitivity of 57.1% (95% CI 34.0-78.2) and specificity of 56.7% (95% CI 37.4-74.5), with positive and negative predictive values of 48.0% (95% CI 27.8-68.7) and 65.4% (95% CI 44.3-82.8), respectively. The positive likelihood ratio was 1.32 (95% CI 0.76-2.29), and the negative likelihood ratio was 0.76 (95% CI 0.42-1.36). CONCLUSIONS: MRI showed limited sensitivity and a poor positive predictive value for the diagnosis of LNM for CCA, which is of particular concern in this resource-limited setting, where simpler detection methods could be utilized that are more cost-effective in this region of Thailand. Therefore, the inclusion of MRI, a costly imaging method, should be reconsidered as part of protocol for treatment planning of CCA, given the number of false positives, especially as it is critical in determining the operability for CCA subjects

Prevalence of Dyslipidemia and Goal Attainment with Lipid-Lowering Therapy: Insights from Thai Multicenter Study and Overview of the Major Guidelines

Background Since the release in Thailand in 2001 of the Third Guidelines by the National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP) Expert Panel on Detection, Evaluation and Treatment of High Blood Cholesterol in Adults or the Adult Treatment Panel (ATP III), there have been no nationwide studies on the proportion of dyslipidaemic patients who have achieved the low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) goals. The authors therefore aimed to estimate the percentage achievement of LDL-C goals based on the modified NCEP ATP III guidelines in intermediate- to high-risk patients. Methods The authors conducted a hospital-based, cross-sectional, epidemiological survey. Patients (1240) were selected consecutively from 50 hospitals across Thailand. Patients were included if they had been treated with statins for at least 3 months. Results Two-thirds were female, and the mean age was 61.7+69.5 years. The median duration of statin treatment was 21 months. Half (633/1240) of the patients achieved the LDL-C goal levels as defined by the NCEP guidelines (51.1%, 95% CI 48.3% to 53.8%). The very high-risk group had the lowest percentage achievement (11.6%; 95% CI 1.6% to 21.6%), compared with 54.2% (95% CI 50.9% to 57.4%) for the high-risk group and 47.0% (95% CI 41.1% to 52.8%) for the moderate-risk group. More males achieved the LDL-C goals than females (55.6% vs. 48.9%; P = 0.029). Conclusions Overall, 51.1% of the patients with cardiovascular risk, on statins treatment, achieved the NCEP ATP III LDL-C goal levels

Spatial analysis of hepatobiliary abnormalities in a population at high-risk of cholangiocarcinoma in Thailand

Cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) is a serious health challenge with low survival prognosis. The liver fluke, Opisthorchis viverrini, plays a role in the aetiology of CCA, through hepatobiliary abnormalities: liver mass (LM), bile duct dilation, and periductal fibrosis (PDF). A population-based CCA screening program, the Cholangiocarcinoma Screening and Care Program, operates in Northeast Thailand. Hepatobiliary abnormalities were identified through ultrasonography. A multivariate zero-inflated, Poisson regression model measured associations between hepatobiliary abnormalities and covariates including age, sex, distance to water resource, and history of O. viverrini infection. Geographic distribution was described using Bayesian spatial analysis methods. Hepatobiliary abnormality prevalence was 38.7%; highest in males aged > 60 years (39.8%). PDF was most prevalent (20.1% of males). The Standardized Morbidity Ratio (SMR) for hepatobiliary abnormalities was highest in the lower and upper parts of the Northeast region.Tis work was supported by Khon Kaen University through CASCAP (Grant no. CASCAP 1/60), the National Research Council of Tailand through the Medical Research Network of the Consortium of Tai Medical Schools (Grant no. MRF.59-076) and National Research Council of Tailand (NRCT/2559-134)

Cohort profile: cholangiocarcinoma screening and care program (CASCAP)

Background: Cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) is an extremely aggressive cancer that is usually fatal. Although globally morbidity and mortality are increasing, knowledge of the disease remains limited. The Mekong region of Southeast Asia, and particularly the northeast of Thailand, has by far the highest incidence of CCA worldwide with 135.4 per 100,000 among males and 43.0 per 100,000 among females being reported in Khon Kaen Province. Most patients are first seen during late stage disease with 5-year survival being less than 10 %. Starting in 1984, control and prevention strategies have been focused on health education. Although early detection can substantially increase 5-year survival, there are currently no strategies to increase early diagnosis. Methods/design: The Cholangiocarcinoma Screening and Care Program (CASCAP) is a prospective cohort study comprising two cohorts- the screening and the patient cohorts. For the screening cohort, ultrasound examination will be carried out regularly at least annually to determine whether there is current bile duct and/or liver pathology so that the optimal screening program for early diagnosis can be established. This cohort is expected to include at least 150,000 individuals coming from high-risk areas for CCA. For the patient cohort, it is estimated that about 25,000 CCA patients will be included during the 5-year recruitment period. All CCA patients will be treated according to routine clinical care and followed so that effective surgical treatment can be formulated. This cohort is indeed a conventional cancer registry. Thus, CASCAP is an ongoing project in which the number of participants changes dynamically. Discussions: This is the first project on CCA that involves screening the at risk population at the community level. At the time of preparing this report, a total of 85,927 individuals have been enrolled in the screening cohort, 55.0 % of whom have already undergone ultrasound screening, and 2661 CCA cases have been enrolled in the patient cohort. Among the participants of the screening, whose mean age was 53.8 ± 9.8 years, 55.6 % were female, 77.5 % attained primary school as the highest level of education, 79.9 % were farmers, 29.9 %, reported having relatives with CCA, 89.1 % had eaten uncooked fish, and 42.2 % of those who had been tested for liver fluke were found to be infected