Financial Exposure and Productive Performance in French Arable Farms

This paper examines the dynamic relationship between financial exposure and productive performance in agriculture. To this end, Granger's concept of causality and VAR representation are used. Indeed, in spite of several studies, the causality and the direction are not clearly defined. However, investigation of this question can provide with valuable information at policy makers to formulate appropriate credit policies. Using a large micro panel of French farmers over 1994-2001, we find that there is a bidirectional causality running from financial constraints and productive performance. Nevertheless, variance decompositions and impulse response analysis suggest a weak relationship existing between these two variables.actual efficiency

What drives the market value of firms in the Defense industry ?

This paper investigates the relative importance of different types of news in driving significant stock price changes of firms in the defense industry. We implement a systematic event study with a sample of the 58 largest publicly listed companies in the defense industry, over the time period 1995-2005. We first identify, for each firm, the statistically significant abnormal returns over the time period, and then we look for information releases likely to cause such stock price movements. We find that stock price movements in the defense industry are, in many ways, influenced by the same events as in other industries (key role of formal earnings announcements or analysts' recommendations) but this industry also has some specific features, in particular the influence of geopolitical events and the relevance and frequency of bids and contracts on stock prices.Event study, financial markets, defense industry, information releases, GARCH models.

Optimizing the new formulation of the United Nations' human development index: An empirical view from data envelopment analysis.

In this paper, we propose a new way to simulate an optimal Human Development Index [HDI]. Indeed, the formulation of the original HDI established by the United Nations Development Programme [UNDP] relies on a major methodological shortcoming, namely the contestable assumption that all component indices have the same weights. So, we implement a new approach to determine the optimal weights of each sub-indicator in the light of Data Envelopment Analysis [DEA]. Accordingly, we follow the multiplicative optimization approach introduced by Zhou et al. (2010), to assess robustly the relative performance of a set of 169 economies around the world in terms of human development. Finally, the new world ranking is close to and highly correlated with the standard HDI one, giving then some support to the equal weighting method adopted by the UNDP.Human development index, data envelopment analysis, multiplicative optimization approach, optimal weights

How Does the Stock Market Respond to Chemical Disasters?

In this paper, we examine the stock market reaction to industrial disasters. We consider an original sample of 64 explosions in chemical plants and refineries worldwide over the period 1990-2005. A quarter of the accidents resulted in a toxic release, and half of them caused at least one death or serious injury. On average, petrochemical firms in our sample experience a drop in their market value of 1.3% over the two days immediately following the disaster. Using multivariate analysis, we show that this loss is significantly related to the seriousness of the accident as measured by the number of casualties and by chemical pollution: each casualty corresponds to a loss of $164 million and a toxic release to a loss of$1 billion.Technological risk; Event study; Environmental liability; Disclosure; Insurance

The Location of Financial Activities: The Impact of New Technologies and the Financial Crisis

The location of financial activities is traditionally characterized by a great deal of inertia. However, the boom in new information and communication technologies, the globalization of economies and the 2007-08 financial crisis have considerably modified the geography of finance. Financial globalization has, first of all, had a heavy impact on the level of spatial concentration / dispersion of activities. The dynamics have not acted in a uniform way – schematically speaking three levels can be distinguished. On the urban scale, financial activities have been spread out (suburbanization), while on the regional scale or the national scale, due to financial globalization, financial activities have been more tightly grouped. Lastly, on the international scale, a movement of dispersion has mainly been observed, along with a specialization of financial centers. The 2007-08 financial crisis might well accentuate this last effect and cause an upheaval in world hierarchy. Actually, the financial centers that are most elastic to the economic situation – London, New York and tax havens – are massively losing jobs, while the stock markets in Shanghai, Hong Kong and Bombay are now upstaging them as major players.Financial Geography, International Financial Centers, Globalization, Informational Externalities

The measurement of financial intermediation in Japan

In this paper, we compute financial intermediation ratios for Japan (1970-2003) on a book value basis. According to our results, the intermediation ratio has remained quite stable, at around 85%. However, this stability is the result of two opposing trends : a decrease in credits and an increase in financial securities owned by financial (mostly, non banking) institutions. These two opposing trends would not have appeared if we had used traditional indicators computed as a fraction on GDP, or that build on a narrow definition of intermediation or use market value data. Fundamentally, our results provide evidence for a very close relation between intermediate financings and market financings and tend to reject the hypothesis of the Japanese financial system's convergence toward a capital market-based system.Disintermediation, financial system, intermediaries, capital markets.

Technology Adoption in French Agriculture and the Role of Financial Constraints

Successive CAP reforms have increased the exposure of European agriculture to market forces. As a result, farmers have become preoccupied with their competitiveness and have progressively adopted best practices. However, these long-run technological adjustments could be slowed down by eventual shortrun financial constraints. This contribution measures the role of these financial constraints on the catching-up component of total factor productivity for a panel of French farmers in Nord-Pas-de-Calais region during 1994-2001. For TFP estimates based on non-parametric distance functions, the second stage econometric results indicate that the technological adaptation is significantly conditioned by financial constraints.TFP catching-up, distance function, financial constraints, Agricultural Finance, Farm Management, Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies,

: A literature survey

Document de travail du CEPII, n°2010-24 de novembre 2010. ISSN : 1293-2574. Publié dans Economie Internationale 123 (2010) 67-90.International audienceSince the 1970s, the financial system has undergone deep structural changes. Innovation has been a key driver of these changes and most economists acknowledge that the impact has been positive overall. However, each time a financial crisis arises, the debate is on. Derivatives especially, which are among the major innovations in the past thirty years, cause deep concerns. In this paper, we propose a survey of the academic literature that has addressed the threats posed by derivatives. An initial issue is the impact of derivatives on the volatility of the underlying assets, but empirical findings do not suggest any significant effect. The recent literature on the dangers of derivatives is more concerned by systemic risks. Several studies suggest that the sophistication of the products and the concentration of risks are potential sources of instability because of the increasing uncertainty, the repeated occurrence of extreme losses, and finally the greater possibility of global crisis. Among the solutions that have been proposed to mitigate risk, beyond strengthening internal control, putting clearinghouses into general use and limiting naked-transactions seem to be the most promising avenues.Depuis le début des années 1970-1980, la sphère financière connaît un flot intense d'innovations et il existe un certain consensus aujourd'hui pour affirmer qu'elles ont globalement une incidence positive. Malgré tout, à chaque crise financière le débat est relancé. En particulier, les produits dérivés, qui sont certainement les innovations financières les plus importantes des trente dernières années, suscitent de vives inquiétudes : les qualificatifs de " bête sauvage " ou d'" armes de destruction massive " leur collent à la peau. Cet article a pour objectif de synthétiser les résultats de la littérature académique sur les dangers que font peser les produits dérivés. On a d'abord craint que les produits dérivés favorisent la volatilité, mais les études empiriques ne semblent pas valider ces soupçons. Les études récentes portent davantage sur le risque systémique. La complexité des produits et la concentration des risques conduisent à une augmentation de l'incertitude, de la fréquence et de l'ampleur des risques extrêmes. Parmi les solutions envisagées pour limiter les risques, outre évidemment le renforcement du contrôle interne, la généralisation des chambres de compensation et la limitation des transactions à nu semble être les voies les plus prometteuses

How can allocative inefficiency reveal risk preference? An empirical investigation on French wheat farms

We focus on a simple framework on wheat producer behaviour in a context of price output uncertainty. More precisely, we establish a relationship between ex post output price level and allocative inefficiency that allows to characterize farmers’ risk preferences. Given this analysis, the connection between risk aversion and other socioeconomic variables (such as degree of output specialisation, total asset, debts, farmer’s age…) can furthermore empirically be explored. This relationship is empirically tested on an unbalanced panel including about 650 wheat producers located in the French Department of Meuse over 1992- 2003.Producer behaviour, allocative inefficiency, risk aversion, Crop Production/Industries, Risk and Uncertainty,

Short- and Long-Run Credit Constraints in French Agriculture: A Directional Distance Function Framework Using Expenditure-Constrained Profit Functions

This empirical application investigates the eventual presence of credit constraints using a panel of French farmers. This is the first European application using a direct modelling approach based upon axiomatic production theory. The credit constrained profit maximisation model proposed by Färe, Grosskopf and Lee is extended in three ways. First, we rephrase the model in terms of directional distance functions to allow for duality with the profit function. Second, we model the presence of credit constraints in the short-run and investment constraints in the long-run using short- respectively long-run profit functions. Third, we lag the expenditure constraint one year to account for the separation between planning and production. We find empirical evidence of both credit and investment constraints, though their relative impact on the degree of financial inefficiency is rather low in the short-run. Financially unconstrained farmers are larger, perform better, and seem to benefit from a virtuous circle where access to financial markets allows better productive choices. In the long-run, almost all farms seem to suffer from credit constraints for financing their investments.proportional distance function, profit function, credit constraint