Micro-economic Analysis of the Physical Constrained Markets: Game Theory Application to Competitive Electricity Markets

Competition has been introduced in the electricity markets with the goal of reducing prices and improving efficiency. The basic idea which stays behind this choice is that, in competitive markets, a greater quantity of the good is exchanged at a lower and a lower price, leading to higher market efficiency. Electricity markets are pretty different from other commodities mainly due to the physical constraints related to the network structure that may impact the market performance. The network structure of the system on which the economic transactions need to be undertaken poses strict physical and operational constraints. Strategic interactions among producers that game the market with the objective of maximizing their producer surplus must be taken into account when modeling competitive electricity markets. The physical constraints, specific of the electricity markets, provide additional opportunity of gaming to the market players. Game theory provides a tool to model such a context. This paper discussed the application of game theory to physical constrained electricity markets with the goal of providing tools for assessing the market performance and pinpointing the critical network constraints that may impact the market efficiency. The basic models of game theory specifically designed to represent the electricity markets will be presented. IEEE30 bus test system of the constrained electricity market will be discussed to show the network impacts on the market performances in presence of strategic bidding behavior of the producers.Comment: Accepted for publication in the European Journal of Physics B. Presented at the Int. Conf. NEXT-SigmaPhi, 13-18 August 2005, Cret

Bidding Strategy with Forecast Technology Based on Support Vector Machine in Electrcity Market

The participants of the electricity market concern very much the market price evolution. Various technologies have been developed for price forecast. SVM (Support Vector Machine) has shown its good performance in market price forecast. Two approaches for forming the market bidding strategies based on SVM are proposed. One is based on the price forecast accuracy, with which the being rejected risk is defined. The other takes into account the impact of the producer's own bid. The risks associated with the bidding are controlled by the parameters setting. The proposed approaches have been tested on a numerical example.Comment: 8pages, 13figures, paper for the conference "Applications of Physics in Financial Analysis 6th International Conference

RISK ASSESSMENT OF MALICIOUS ATTACKS AGAINST POWER SYSTEMS

The new scenarios of malicious attack prompt for their deeper consideration and mainly when critical systems are at stake. In this framework, infrastructural systems, including power systems, represent a possible target due to the huge impact they can have on society. Malicious attacks are different in their nature from other more traditional cause of threats to power system, since they embed a strategic interaction between the attacker and the defender (characteristics that cannot be found in natural events or systemic failures). This difference has not been systematically analyzed by the existent literature. In this respect, new approaches and tools are needed. This paper presents a mixed-strategy game-theory model able to capture the strategic interactions between malicious agents that may be willing to attack power systems and the system operators, with its related bodies, that are in charge of defending them. At the game equilibrium, the different strategies of the two players, in terms of attacking/protecting the critical elements of the systems, can be obtained. The information about the attack probability to various elements can be used to assess the risk associated with each of them, and the efficiency of defense resource allocation is evidenced in terms of the corresponding risk. Reference defense plans related to the online defense action and the defense action with a time delay can be obtained according to their respective various time constraints. Moreover, risk sensitivity to the defense/attack-resource variation is also analyzed. The model is applied to a standard IEEE RTS-96 test system for illustrative purpose and, on the basis of that system, some peculiar aspects of the malicious attacks are pointed ou

Power grids vulnerability: a complex network approach

Power grids exhibit patterns of reaction to outages similar to complex networks. Blackout sequences follow power laws, as complex systems operating near a critical point. Here, the tolerance of electric power grids to both accidental and malicious outages is analyzed in the framework of complex network theory. In particular, the quantity known as efficiency is modified by introducing a new concept of distance between nodes. As a result, a new parameter called net-ability is proposed to evaluate the performance of power grids. A comparison between efficiency and net-ability is provided by estimating the vulnerability of sample networks, in terms of both the metrics.Comment: 16 pages, 3 figures. Figure 2 and table II modified. Typos corrected. Version accepted for publication in Chao

ICESat/GLAS Data as a Measurement Tool for Peatland Topography and Peat Swamp Forest Biomass in Kalimantan, Indonesia

Indonesian peatlands are one of the largest near-surface pools of terrestrial organic carbon. Persistent logging, drainage and recurrent fires lead to huge emission of carbon each year. Since tropical peatlands are highly inaccessible, few measurements on peat depth and forest biomass are available. We assessed the applicability of quality filtered ICESat/GLAS (a spaceborne LiDAR system) data to measure peatland topography as a proxy for peat volume and to estimate peat swamp forest Above Ground Biomass (AGB) in a thoroughly investigated study site in Central Kalimantan, Indonesia. Mean Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) elevation was correlated to the corresponding ICESat/GLAS elevation. The best results were obtained from the waveform centroid (R2 = 0.92; n = 4,186). ICESat/GLAS terrain elevation was correlated to three 3D peatland elevation models derived from SRTM data (R2 = 0.90; overall difference = −1.0 m, ±3.2 m; n = 4,045). Based on the correlation of in situ peat swamp forest AGB and airborne LiDAR data (R2 = 0.75, n = 36) an ICESat/GLAS AGB prediction model was developed (R2 = 0.61, n = 35). These results demonstrate that ICESat/GLAS data can be used to measure peat topography and to collect large numbers of forest biomass samples in remote and highly inaccessible peatland forests

Inhibition of cytokinesis by wiskostatin does not rely on N-WASP/Arp2/3 complex pathway

BACKGROUND: Cytokinesis is the final step of cell division taking place at the end of mitosis during which the cytoplasmic content and replicated chromosomes of a cell are equally partitioned between the two daughter cells. This process is achieved by the formation and the ingression of an actomyosin contractile ring under the control of equatorial microtubules. The mechanisms of contractile ring formation are not fully understood but involve recruitment of preexisting actin filaments and de novo actin polymerisation. RESULTS: In this study, we evaluated the role of the actin nucleation factor, Arp2/3 complex, during cytokinesis. We found that the Arp2/3 complex is recruited late to the cleavage furrow suggesting a potential involvement of Arp2/3 complex during this process. Furthermore, wiskostatin a potent inhibitor of N-WASP activity towards the Arp2/3 complex blocked cytokinesis without affecting mitosis. Nonetheless, this inhibition could not be reproduced using alternative approaches targeting the N-WASP/Arp2/3 complex pathway. CONCLUSION: We conclude that the wiskostatin induced defective cytokinesis does not occur through the inhibition of the N-WASP/Arp2/3 pathway. Wiskostatin is likely to either directly target other proteins required for cytokinesis progression or alternately wiskostatin bound to N-WASP could affect the activity of other factors involved in cytokinesis

Thermo-mechanical FE model with memory effect for 304L austenitic stainless steel presenting microstructure gradient

The main purpose of this study is to determine, via a three dimensions Finite Element analysis (FE), the stress and strain fields at the inner surface of a tubular specimen submitted to thermo-mechanical fatigue. To investigate the surface finish effect on fatigue behaviour at this inner surface, mechanical tests were carried out on real size tubular specimens under various thermal loadings. X ray measurements, Transmission Electron Microscopy observations and micro-hardness tests performed at and under the inner surface of the specimen before testing, revealed residual internal stresses and a large dislocation microstructure gradient in correlation with hardening gradients due to machining. A memory effect, bound to the pre-hardening gradient, was introduced into an elasto-visco-plastic model in order to determine the stress and strain fields at the inner surface. The temperature evolution on the inner surface of the tubular specimen was first computed via a thermo-elastic model and then used for our thermo-mechanical simulations. Identification of the thermo-mechanical model parameters was based on the experimental stabilized cyclic tension-compression tests performed at 20^{\circ}C and 300^{\circ}C. A good agreement was obtained between numerical stabilized traction-compression cycle curves (with and without pre-straining) and experimental ones. This 3 dimensional simulation gave access to the evolution of the axial and tangential internal stresses and local strains during the tests. Numerical results showed: a decreasing of the tangential stress and stabilization after 40 cycles, whereas the axial stress showed weaker decreasing with the number of cycles. The results also pointed out a ratcheting and a slightly non proportional loading at the inner surface. The computed mean stress and strain values of the stabilized cycle being far from the initial ones, they could be used to get the safety margins of standard design related to fatigue, as well as to get accurate loading conditions needed for the use of more advanced fatigue analysis and criteria

Comportement agronomique et résistance aux principaux déprédateurs des lignées de Sarchimor et Catimor (Coffea arabica L.) au Costa Rica

Vingt-sept lignées de Catimor et Sarchimor, provenant des trois origines de l'hybride de Timor sont comparées aux lignées commerciales Catuai et Caturra, dans deux essais de la station de CICAFE du Costa Rica (1 200 m d'altitude). Les comparaisons portent sur la productivité, la granulométrie, la circonférence du tronc, les loges vides et caracolis, l'incidence de la rouille orangée et des nématodes (Meloidogyne exigua et Pratylenchus sp.), la résistance vis-à-vis du CBD (Colletotrichum kahawae). Les résultats indiquent des différences significatives entre les lignées de Catimor et Sarchimor pour tous les caractères observés et confirment la valeur de ces lignées issues de l'hybride de Timor, pour la sélection de lignées productives et résistantes à la rouille orangée, au CBD et à M. exigu