Correlates of elevational specialisation in Southeast Asian tropical birds

The understanding of elevational selectivity in extremely rich tropical biotas is critical to the study of accelerating human-mediated environmental changes (e.g., deforestation and global climate warming). This paper explores the characteristics of Southeast Asian birds that are altitudinal specialists (i.e., lowland specialists and montane specialists) by assessing the relative importance of various species traits (e.g., breeding phenology and clutch size) in determining the altitudinal specialisation of these tropical birds. After controlling for phylogeny, we found that habitat specificity, breeding phenology, and clutch size were significant correlates of lowland specialisation. The most parsimonious model predicting lowland specialisation included the first of these only. Breeding phenology was the significant phylogeny-independent correlate of montane specialisation. Thus, species were confined to altitudinal niches by different constraints. By analysing the altitudinal distribution of Southeast Asian birds, we provide insights on why altitudinal confinement exists in lowland and montane specialists. Understanding such constraints may be important for the conservation of tropical birds

Predictors of contraction and expansion of area of occupancy for British birds

Copyright © 2014 The Author(s) Published by the Royal SocietyGeographical range dynamics are driven by the joint effects of abiotic factors, human ecosystem modifications, biotic interactions and the intrinsic organismal responses to these. However, the relative contribution of each component remains largely unknown. Here, we compare the contribution of life-history attributes, broad-scale gradients in climate and geographical context of species’ historical ranges, as predictors of recent changes in area of occupancy for 116 terrestrial British breeding birds (74 contractors, 42 expanders) between the early 1970s and late 1990s. Regional threat classifications demonstrated that the species of highest conservation concern showed both the largest contractions and the smallest expansions. Species responded differently to climate depending on geographical distribution—northern species changed their area of occupancy (expansion or contraction) more in warmer and drier regions, whereas southern species changed more in colder and wetter environments. Species with slow life history (larger body size) tended to have a lower probability of changing their area of occupancy than species with faster life history, whereas species with greater natal dispersal capacity resisted contraction and, counterintuitively, expansion. Higher geographical fragmentation of species' range also increased expansion probability, possibly indicating a release from a previously limiting condition, for example through agricultural abandonment since the 1970s. After accounting statistically for the complexity and nonlinearity of the data, our results demonstrate two key aspects of changing area of occupancy for British birds: (i) climate is the dominant driver of change, but direction of effect depends on geographical context, and (ii) all of our predictors generally had a similar effect regardless of the direction of the change (contraction versus expansion). Although we caution applying results from Britain's highly modified and well-studied bird community to other biogeographic regions, our results do indicate that a species' propensity to change area of occupancy over decadal scales can be explained partially by a combination of simple allometric predictors of life-history pace, average climate conditions and geographical context.Australian Research CouncilIntegrated Program of IC&DTFCT (Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia

Evidence and Ideology in Macroeconomics: The Case of Investment Cycles

The paper reports the principal findings of a long term research project on the description and explanation of business cycles. The research strongly confirmed the older view that business cycles have large systematic components that take the form of investment cycles. These quasi-periodic movements can be represented as low order, stochastic, dynamic processes with complex eigenvalues. Specifically, there is a fixed investment cycle of about 8 years and an inventory cycle of about 4 years. Maximum entropy spectral analysis was employed for the description of the cycles and continuous time econometrics for the explanatory models. The central explanatory mechanism is the second order accelerator, which incorporates adjustment costs both in relation to the capital stock and the rate of investment. By means of parametric resonance it was possible to show, both theoretically and empirically how cycles aggregate from the micro to the macro level. The same mathematical tool was also used to explain the international convergence of cycles. I argue that the theory of investment cycles was abandoned for ideological, not for evidential reasons. Methodological issues are also discussed

The dental phenotype of hairless dogs with FOXI3 haploinsufficiency

Hairless dog breeds show a form of ectodermal dysplasia characterised by a lack of hair and abnormal tooth morphology. This has been attributed to a semi-dominant 7-base-pair duplication in the first exon of the forkhead box I3 gene (FOXI3) shared by all three breeds. Here, we identified this FOXI3 variant in a historical museum sample of pedigreed hairless dog skulls by using ancient DNA extraction and present the associated dental phenotype. Unlike in the coated wild type dogs, the hairless dogs were characterised in both the mandibular and maxillary dentition by a loss of the permanent canines, premolars and to some extent incisors. In addition, the deciduous fourth premolars and permanent first and second molars consistently lacked the distal and lingual cusps; this resulted in only a single enlarged cusp in the basin-like heel (talonid in lower molars, talon in upper molars). This molar phenotype is also found among several living and fossil carnivorans and the extinct order Creodonta in which it is associated with hypercarnivory. We therefore suggest that FOXI3 may generally be involved in dental (cusp) development within and across mammalian lineages including the hominids which are known to exhibit marked variability in the presence of lingual cusps

A Quantitative Method to Analyze Drosophila Pupal Eye Patterning

BACKGROUND:The Drosophila pupal eye has become a popular paradigm for understanding morphogenesis and tissue patterning. Correct rearrangement of cells between ommatidia is required to organize the ommatidial array across the eye field. This requires cell movement, cell death, changes to cell-cell adhesion, signaling and fate specification. METHODOLOGY:We describe a method to quantitatively assess mis-patterning of the Drosophila pupal eye and objectively calculate a 'mis-patterning score' characteristic of a specific genotype. This entails step-by-step scoring of specific traits observed in pupal eyes dissected 40-42 hours after puparium formation and subsequent statistical analysis of this data. SIGNIFICANCE:This method provides an unbiased quantitative score of mis-patterning severity that can be used to compare the impact of different genetic mutations on tissue patterning

Multireference Description of Nickel-Aryl Homolytic Bond Dissociation Processes in Photoredox Catalysis

Multireference electronic structure calculations consistent with known experimental data have elucidated a novel mechanism for photo-triggered Ni(II)–C homolytic bond dissociation in Ni 2,2′-bipyridine (bpy) photoredox catalysts. Previously, a thermally assisted dissociation from the lowest energy triplet ligand field excited state was proposed and supported by density functional theory (DFT) calculations that reveal a barrier of ∼30 kcal mol⁻¹. In contrast, multireference ab initio calculations suggest that this process is disfavored, with barrier heights of ∼70 kcal mol⁻¹, and highlight important ligand noninnocent and multiconfigurational contributions to excited state relaxation and bond dissociation processes that are not captured with DFT. In the multireference description, photo-triggered Ni(II)–C homolytic bond dissociation occurs via initial population of a singlet Ni(II)-to-bpy metal-to-ligand charge transfer (¹MLCT) excited state, followed by intersystem crossing and aryl-to-Ni(III) charge transfer, overall a formal two-electron transfer process driven by a single photon. This results in repulsive triplet excited states from which spontaneous homolytic bond dissociation can occur, effectively competing with relaxation to the lowest energy nondissociative triplet Ni(II) ligand field excited state. These findings guide important electronic structure considerations for the experimental and computational elucidation of the mechanisms of ground and excited state cross-coupling catalysis mediated by Ni heteroaromatic complexes

Breaks and the Statistical Process of Inflation:The Case of Estimating the ‘Modern’ Long-Run Phillips Curve*

‘Modern’ theories of the Phillips curve inadvertently imply that inflation is an integrated or near integrated process but this implication is strongly rejected using United States data. Alternatively, if we assume that inflation is a stationary process around a shifting mean (due to changes in monetary policy) then any estimate of long-run relationships in the data will suffer from a ‘small-sample’ problem as there are too few stationary inflation ‘regimes’. Using the extensive literature on identification of structural breaks we identify inflation regimes which are used in turn to estimate with panel data techniques the United States long-run Phillips curve

The Size and Growth of the Hidden Economy in Norway

The present size of the hidden economy in Norway is between 4 and 6 percent of GDP, of which hidden labor income constitutes about half. A survey approach reveals that 415 of the population is of the opinion that people in general accept income from moonlighting that is not reported, and 213 believes that this share of acceptance is on the increase. Furthermore, surveys clearly show that hidden labor services are of satisfactory quality, that they mainly are paid for in cash, but with checks being increasingly used, and that buyers find it easier to obtain services from the hidden labor market than from the regular one. A shortening of the work week in order to alleviate unemployment may result in an increased supply of hidden labor

MicroRNAs and Developmental Robustness: A New Layer Is Revealed

MicroRNAs provide a new layer of regulation to ensure that a developmental program of programmed cell death yields a reproducible outcome in spite of perturbations to the system

Computer Simulation of Cellular Patterning Within the Drosophila Pupal Eye

We present a computer simulation and associated experimental validation of assembly of glial-like support cells into the interweaving hexagonal lattice that spans the Drosophila pupal eye. This process of cell movements organizes the ommatidial array into a functional pattern. Unlike earlier simulations that focused on the arrangements of cells within individual ommatidia, here we examine the local movements that lead to large-scale organization of the emerging eye field. Simulations based on our experimental observations of cell adhesion, cell death, and cell movement successfully patterned a tracing of an emerging wild-type pupal eye. Surprisingly, altering cell adhesion had only a mild effect on patterning, contradicting our previous hypothesis that the patterning was primarily the result of preferential adhesion between IRM-class surface proteins. Instead, our simulations highlighted the importance of programmed cell death (PCD) as well as a previously unappreciated variable: the expansion of cells' apical surface areas, which promoted rearrangement of neighboring cells. We tested this prediction experimentally by preventing expansion in the apical area of individual cells: patterning was disrupted in a manner predicted by our simulations. Our work demonstrates the value of combining computer simulation with in vivo experiments to uncover novel mechanisms that are perpetuated throughout the eye field. It also demonstrates the utility of the Glazier–Graner–Hogeweg model (GGH) for modeling the links between local cellular interactions and emergent properties of developing epithelia as well as predicting unanticipated results in vivo