State of the climate in 2013

In 2013, the vast majority of the monitored climate variables reported here maintained trends established in recent decades. ENSO was in a neutral state during the entire year, remaining mostly on the cool side of neutral with modest impacts on regional weather patterns around the world. This follows several years dominated by the effects of either La Niña or El Niño events. According to several independent analyses, 2013 was again among the 10 warmest years on record at the global scale, both at the Earths surface and through the troposphere. Some regions in the Southern Hemisphere had record or near-record high temperatures for the year. Australia observed its hottest year on record, while Argentina and New Zealand reported their second and third hottest years, respectively. In Antarctica, Amundsen-Scott South Pole Station reported its highest annual temperature since records began in 1957. At the opposite pole, the Arctic observed its seventh warmest year since records began in the early 20th century. At 20-m depth, record high temperatures were measured at some permafrost stations on the North Slope of Alaska and in the Brooks Range. In the Northern Hemisphere extratropics, anomalous meridional atmospheric circulation occurred throughout much of the year, leading to marked regional extremes of both temperature and precipitation. Cold temperature anomalies during winter across Eurasia were followed by warm spring temperature anomalies, which were linked to a new record low Eurasian snow cover extent in May. Minimum sea ice extent in the Arctic was the sixth lowest since satellite observations began in 1979. Including 2013, all seven lowest extents on record have occurred in the past seven years. Antarctica, on the other hand, had above-average sea ice extent throughout 2013, with 116 days of new daily high extent records, including a new daily maximum sea ice area of 19.57 million km2 reached on 1 October. ENSO-neutral conditions in the eastern central Pacific Ocean and a negative Pacific decadal oscillation pattern in the North Pacific had the largest impacts on the global sea surface temperature in 2013. The North Pacific reached a historic high temperature in 2013 and on balance the globally-averaged sea surface temperature was among the 10 highest on record. Overall, the salt content in nearsurface ocean waters increased while in intermediate waters it decreased. Global mean sea level continued to rise during 2013, on pace with a trend of 3.2 mm yr-1 over the past two decades. A portion of this trend (0.5 mm yr-1) has been attributed to natural variability associated with the Pacific decadal oscillation as well as to ongoing contributions from the melting of glaciers and ice sheets and ocean warming. Global tropical cyclone frequency during 2013 was slightly above average with a total of 94 storms, although the North Atlantic Basin had its quietest hurricane season since 1994. In the Western North Pacific Basin, Super Typhoon Haiyan, the deadliest tropical cyclone of 2013, had 1-minute sustained winds estimated to be 170 kt (87.5 m s-1) on 7 November, the highest wind speed ever assigned to a tropical cyclone. High storm surge was also associated with Haiyan as it made landfall over the central Philippines, an area where sea level is currently at historic highs, increasing by 200 mm since 1970. In the atmosphere, carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide all continued to increase in 2013. As in previous years, each of these major greenhouse gases once again reached historic high concentrations. In the Arctic, carbon dioxide and methane increased at the same rate as the global increase. These increases are likely due to export from lower latitudes rather than a consequence of increases in Arctic sources, such as thawing permafrost. At Mauna Loa, Hawaii, for the first time since measurements began in 1958, the daily average mixing ratio of carbon dioxide exceeded 400 ppm on 9 May. The state of these variables, along with dozens of others, and the 2013 climate conditions of regions around the world are discussed in further detail in this 24th edition of the State of the Climate series. © 2014, American Meteorological Society. All rights reserved

Global tracking of marine megafauna space use reveals how to achieve conservation targets

The recent Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF) sets ambitious goals but no clear pathway for how zero loss of important biodiversity areas and halting human-induced extinction of threatened species will be achieved. We assembled a multi-taxa tracking dataset (11 million geopositions from 15,845 tracked individuals across 121 species) to provide a global assessment of space use of highly mobile marine megafauna, showing that 63% of the area that they cover is used 80% of the time as important migratory corridors or residence areas. The GBF 30% threshold (Target 3) will be insufficient for marine megafauna’s effective conservation, leaving important areas exposed to major anthropogenic threats. Coupling area protection with mitigation strategies (e.g., fishing regulation, wildlife-traffic separation) will be essential to reach international goals and conserve biodiversity.</p

Clinical and patient-reported trajectories at end-of-life in older patients with advanced CKD

Background We explore longitudinal trajectories of clinical indicators, patient-reported outcomes, and hospitalizations, in the years preceding death in a population of older patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD). Methods The EQUAL study is a European observational prospective cohort study with an incident eGFR Results We included 661 decedents with a median time to death of 2.0 years (IQR 0.9-3.2). During the years preceding death, eGFR, Subjective Global Assessment score, and blood pressure declined, with accelerations seen at 6 months preceding death. Serum hemoglobin, hematocrit, cholesterol, calcium, albumin, and sodium values declined slowly during follow-up, with accelerations observed between 6 and 12 months preceding death. Physical and mental quality of life declined linearly throughout follow-up. The number of reported symptoms was stable up to 2 years prior to death, with an acceleration observed at 1 year prior to death. The rate of hospitalization was stable at around one hospitalization per person year, increasing exponentially at 6 months preceding death. Conclusions We identified clinically relevant physiological accelerations in patient trajectories that began similar to 6 to 12 months prior to death, which are likely multifactorial in nature, but correlate with a surge in hospitalizations. Further research should focus on how to effectively use this knowledge to inform patient and family expectations, to benefit the planning of (end-of-life) care, and to establish clinical alert systems.Clinical epidemiolog

A Particle Image Velocimetry Study of Flow Structure in an Offset-Strip Array with Delta-Wing Vortex Generators

The potential for heat transfer enhancement from the combination of spanwise and streamwise vorticity has been investigated using a vortex-enhanced interrupted fin (VEIF) array. The VEIF consists of a fin with two delta-wing vortex generators (VGs) located symmetrically about the fin???s spanwise centerline. The VEIF was placed in an offset-strip fin array, and the array was thus called the Two-VG array. Spanwise vortices were created by the offset-strip array, and streamwise vortices were introduced to the flow by the VGs. The Two-VG array and a baseline offset-strip array were examined over the Reynolds number range 1025 ?? Re ?? 2450. The flow structure through the array was investigated using dye-in-water flow visualization and particle image velocimetry (PIV), and the results were compared to naphthalene sublimation heat transfer data obtained in a separate study. The Two-VG array showed heat transfer enhancement at Re ?? 1025. At these Reynolds numbers, spanwise vortices are not dominant in the offset-strip array. The introduction of streamwise vortices by the VGs enhances the heat transfer behavior of the baseline array by increasing the mixing of freestream fluid with the boundary layer fluid of the fins. Shear layer instabilities in the wake of the baseline array occur at Re = 1230. The onset of these oscillations at Re = 1230 corresponds to a decrease in heat transfer near the exit of the Two-VG array, where no oscillations or instabilities occur. Spanwise vortex shedding begins at the back of the array as the Reynolds number increases past 1550 in the baseline array, and past 1610 in the Two-VG array. As the Reynolds number is increased through Re = 1780, the heat transfer decrement persists, and moves upstream through the array. The onset of spanwise vortex shedding similarly moves upstream with increasing Reynolds number. The heat transfer behavior of the Two-VG array within the Reynolds number range 1230 ?? Re ?? 1780 suggests that the interaction of spanwise and streamwise vorticity is destructive. An increase in Reynolds number to Re = 2450, however, showed improved heat transfer behavior, and, thus, a beneficial interaction of spanwise and streamwise vorticity. Spanwise vortex shedding occurred throughout the baseline and Two-VG arrays at Re = 2450. Spanwise flow unsteadiness in the Two-VG array began at fin 3 for Re = 2450. At the lower Reynolds numbers investigated, flow unsteadiness did not begin before fin 6.Air Conditioning and Refrigeration Project 10

Structure-activity relationships of alpha-conotoxins targeting neuronal nicotinic acetylcholine receptors

alpha-Conotoxins that target the neuronal nicotinic acetylcholine receptor have a range of potential therapeutic applications and are valuable probes for examining receptor subtype selectivity. The three-dimensional structures of about half of the known neuronal specific alpha-conotoxins have now been determined and have a consensus fold containing a helical region braced by two conserved disulfide bonds. These disulfide bonds define the two-loop framework characteristic for alpha-conotoxins, CCXmCXnC, where loop 1 comprises four residues (m = 4) and loop 2 between three and seven residues (n = 3, 6 or 7). Structural studies, particularly using NMR spectroscopy have provided an insight into the role and spatial location of residues implicated in receptor binding and biological activity