Post-Marketing Benefit–Risk Assessment of Rotavirus Vaccination in Japan: A Simulation and Modelling Analysis

INTRODUCTION: Rotarix™, GSK’s live attenuated rotavirus vaccine, was introduced in Japan in 2011. A recent trend in reduction of rotavirus gastroenteritis (RVGE) due to this vaccine was described. However, an observed/expected analysis showed a temporal association with intussusception within 7 days post dose 1. OBJECTIVE: In this paper, we compare the benefit and risk of vaccination side-by-side in a benefit–risk analysis. METHODS: The number of vaccine-preventable RVGE-associated hospitalizations and deaths (benefit) and intussusception-associated hospitalizations and deaths (risk) following two doses of Rotarix™ in Japan was compared using simulations. Source data included peer-reviewed clinical and epidemiological publications, Japanese governmental statistics (Statistics Bureau, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications), and market survey data. RESULTS: For a birth cohort of 1 million vaccinated Japanese children followed for 5 years, the benefit–risk analysis suggested that the vaccine would prevent ~17,900 hospitalizations and ~6.3 deaths associated with RVGE. At the same time, vaccination would be associated with about ~50 intussusception hospitalizations and ~0.017 intussusception deaths. Therefore, for every intussusception hospitalization caused by vaccination and for one intussusception-associated death, 350 (95 % CI 69–2510) RVGE-associated hospitalizations and 366 (95 % CI 59–3271) RVGE-associated deaths are prevented, respectively, by vaccination. CONCLUSIONS: The benefit–risk balance for Rotarix™ is favorable in Japan. From a public health perspective, the benefits in terms of prevented RVGE hospitalizations and deaths for the vaccinated population far exceed the estimated risks due to intussusception. ELECTRONIC SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL: The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s40264-015-0376-7) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users

Intraoperative ketorolac in high-risk breast cancer patients : A prospective, randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trial

Funding: This work is financed by grants received by PF, in the name of his institution: the Anticancer Fund (no grant number) (www.anticancerfund.org); the Belgian Society of Anaesthesia and Resuscitation (no grant number) (www.sarb.be); the Fondation Saint-Luc (no grant number) (www.uclouvain.be); the Commission du Patrimoine of the Université catholique de Louvain, St-Luc Hospital (exceptional grant, no number) (www.uclouvain.be). None of the funders had any role in the study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish or preparation of the manuscript except the scientific advise of GB, scientific director of the Anticancer Fund.Peer reviewedPublisher PD

Attributes influencing parental decision-making to receive the Tdap vaccine to reduce the risk of pertussis transmission to their newborn – outcome of a crosssectional conjoint experiment in Spain and Italy

Pertussis vaccination of parents and household contacts (‘cocooning’) to protect newborn infants is an established strategy in many countries, although uptake may be low. Many aspects may influence such decision-making. We conducted a cross-sectional survey (NCT01890447) of households and other close contacts of newborns aged ≤6 months (or of expectant mothers in their last trimester) in Spain and Italy, using an adaptive discrete-choice experiment questionnaire. Aims were to assess the relative importance of attributes influencing vaccine adoption, and to estimate variation in vaccine adoption rates and the impact of cost on vaccination rates. Six hundred and fifteen participants (Spain, n = 313; Italy, n = 302) completed the survey. Of 144 available questionnaire scenarios, the most frequently selected (14% of respondents in both countries) were infant protection by household vaccination at vaccination center, recommendation by family physician and health authorities, with information available on leaflets and websites. The attribute with highest median relative importance was ‘reduction in source of infection’ in Spain (23.1%) and ‘vaccination location’ in Italy (18.8%). Differences between other attributes were low in both countries, with media attributes showing low importance. Over 80% of respondents indicated a definite or probable response to vaccine adoption (at no-cost) with estimated probability of adoption of 89–98%; applying vaccine costs (25€ per person) would reduce the probability of uptake by 7–20% in definite/probable respondents. Awareness of these determinants is helpful in informing Health Authorities and healthcare practitioners implementing a cocooning strategy for those populations where maternal immunization is not a preferred option

ADVANCE system testing: Benefit-risk analysis of a marketed vaccine using multi-criteria decision analysis and individual-level state transition modelling

BACKGROUND: The Accelerated Development of VAccine beNefit-risk Collaboration in Europe (ADVANCE) is a public-private collaboration aiming to develop and test a system for rapid benefit-risk (B/R) monitoring of vaccines using electronic health record (eHR) databases in Europe. Proof-of-concept studies were designed to assess the proposed processes and system for generating the required evidence to perform B/R assessment and near-real time monitoring of vaccines. We aimed to test B/R methodologies for vaccines, using the comparison of the B/R profiles of whole-cell (wP) and acellular pertussis (aP) vaccine formulations in children as an example. METHODS: We used multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) to structure the B/R assessment combined with individual-level state transition modelling to build the B/R effects table. In the state transition model, we simulated the number of events in two hypothetical cohorts of 1 million children followed from first pertussis dose till pre-school-entry booster (or six years of age, whichever occurred first), with one cohort receiving wP, and the other aP. The benefits were reductions in pertussis incidence and complications. The risks were increased incidences of febrile convulsions, fever, hypotonic-hyporesponsive episodes, injection-site reactions and persistent crying. Most model parameters were informed by estimates (coverage, background incidences, relative risks) from eHR databases from Denmark (SSI), Spain (BIFAP and SIDIAP), Italy (Pedianet) and the UK (RCGP-RSC and THIN). Preferences were elicited from clinical and epidemiological experts. RESULTS: Using state transition modelling to build the B/R effects table facilitated the comparison of different vaccine effects (e.g. immediate vaccine risks vs long-term vaccine benefits). Estimates from eHR databases could be used to inform the simulation model. The model results could be easily combined with preference weights to obtain B/R scores. CONCLUSION: Existing B/R methodology, modelling and estimates from eHR databases can be successfully used for B/R assessment of vaccines

ADVANCE system testing: Benefit-risk analysis of a marketed vaccine using multi-criteria decision analysis and individual-level state transition modelling

Background: The Accelerated Development of VAccine beNefit-risk Collaboration in Europe (ADVANCE) is a public-private collaboration aiming to develop and test a system for rapid benefit-risk (B/R) monitoring of vaccines using electronic health record (eHR) databases in Europe. Proof-of-concept studies were designed to assess the proposed processes and system for generating the required evidence to perform B/R assessment and near-real time monitoring of vaccines. We aimed to test B/R methodologies for vaccines, using the comparison of the B/R profiles of whole-cell (wP) and acellular pertussis (aP) vaccine formulations in children as an example. Methods: We used multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) to structure the B/R assessment combined with individual-level state transition modelling to build the B/R effects table. In the state transition model, we simulated the number of events in two hypothetical cohorts of 1 million children followed from first pertussis dose till pre-school-entry booster (or six years of age, whichever occurred first), with one cohort receiving wP, and the other aP. The benefits were reductions in pertussis incidence and complications. The risks were increased incidences of febrile convulsions, fever, hypotonic-hyporesponsive episodes, injection-site reactions and persistent crying. Most model parameters were informed by estimates (coverage, background incidences, relative risks) from eHR databases from Denmark (SSI), Spain (BIFAP and SIDIAP), Italy (Pedianet) and the UK (RCGP-RSC and THIN). Preferences were elicited from clinical and epidemiological experts. Results: Using state transition modelling to build the B/R effects table facilitated the comparison of different vaccine effects (e.g. immediate vaccine risks vs long-term vaccine benefits). Estimates from eHR databases could be used to inform the simulation model. The model results could be easily combined with preference weights to obtain B/R scores. Conclusion: Existing B/R methodology, modelling and estimates from eHR databases can be successfully used for B/R assessment of vaccines

A Bayesian approach for dose-escalation in a phase I clinical trial incorporating pharmacodynamic endpoints .

Bayesian decision procedures have already been proposed for and implemented in phase I dose-escalation studies in healthy volunteers. The procedures have been based on pharmacokinetic responses reflecting the concentration of the drug in blood plasma and are conducted to learn about the dose-response relationship while avoiding excessive concentrations. However, in many dose-escalation studies, pharmacodynamic endpoints such as heart rate or blood pressure are observed, and it is these that should be used to control dose-escalation. These endpoints introduce additional complexity into the modelling of the problem relative to pharmacokinetic responses. Firstly, there are responses available following placebo administrations. Secondly, the pharmacodynamic responses are related directly to measurable plasma concentrations, which in turn are related to dose. Motivated by experience of data from a real study conducted in a conventional manner, this paper presents and evaluates a Bayesian procedure devised for the simultaneous monitoring of pharmacodynamic and pharmacokinetic responses. Account is also taken of the incidence of adverse events. Following logarithmic transformations, a linear model is used to relate dose to the pharmacokinetic endpoint and a quadratic model to relate the latter to the pharmacodynamic endpoint. A logistic model is used to relate the pharmacokinetic endpoint to the risk of an adverse event

Les modèles de souris transgéniques leur intérêt dans les tumeurs thyroïdiennes.

Mouse transgenic models that develop thyroid diseases were generated. All transgenes were driven by the thyroid specific promoter of the thyroglobulin gene. The tissue specificity of the promoter was investigated by using the bacterial chloramphenicol acetyltransferase gene as reporter. The expression of the adenosine A2a receptor resulted in the permanent activation of the cAMP cascade. As a consequence, transgenic mice developed severe hyperthyroidism and a large goiter, demonstrating in vivo the role of the cAMP cascade in the promotion of both function and proliferation of the thyroid cell. These mice constitute a model for autonomous hyperfunctional adenoma and non autoimmune familial hyperthyroidism, where mutant of thyrotropin receptors stimulate the cAMP cascade constitutively. The expression of a mutant of the alpha 1B adrenergic receptor resulted in the constitutive activation of both the cAMP and IP3-CA++ cascades, growth stimulation, hyperfunction, cell degeneracy attributed to the overproduction of free radicals, and development of malignancies. The expression of the SV40 large T antigen promoted the development of aggressive undifferentiated tumors mimicking the phenotype of human anaplastic carcinomas and embryonal tumors. In another transgenic model, the function of the retinoblastoma susceptibility gene product RB1 (and of related proteins) was inhibited by expressing the E7 oncoprotein of human papillomavirus type 16. The result was the development of a differentiated and normofunctional colloid goiter, with progressive development of differentiated malignant lesions. This model suggests the essential role of RB1 and related proteins in the negative control of proliferation that characterizes thyroid cells in the adult. Other transgenic models of thyroid diseases are discussed.English AbstractJournal ArticleResearch Support, Non-U.S. Gov'tReviewinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishe

Nucleophilic [18F]radiofluorination using microwave cavity: Application to [18F]FDG and aromatic [18F]fluoro amino acids synthesis

SCOPUS: cp.jFLWNAinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedSupplement: Tenth International Symposium on Radiopharmaceutical Chemistry Abstract

Statistical analysis of electroencephalograms: independent component analysis of event-related potentials

Electroencephalogram (EEG) is an important diagnostic tool in clinical neurophysiology. However, EEGs are not often used in clinical studies because of intrinsic problem like the huge quantity of data or artifacts. In this paper, we shall describe statistical tools to detect and quantify the effect of drugs on the brain by the analysis of EEGs. We first use Independent Component Analysis (ICA) to detect and remove automatically artifacts from EEGs. In the second step, ICA reduces the dimension of the problem. Using data from a clinical trial, we show that eight ICA components can reconstruct more than 80 percents of the data from the twenty-eight electrodes. Some of these eight ICA components can reconstruct an interesting characteristic of the signals (an event-related potential named P300). Finally, we shall show how the analysis of these two components allow to detect and quantify a treatment effect. Lorazepam decreases the P300 peak amplitude and increases the time of occurrence of the P300 peak