Predicting trajectories of the north star ambulatory assessment total score in Duchenne muscular dystrophy

Copyright \ua9 2025 Muntoni et al. The North Star Ambulatory Assessment (NSAA) is a widely used functional endpoint in drug development for ambulatory patients with Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD). Accurately predicting NSAA total score trajectories is important for designing randomized trials for novel therapies in DMD and for contextualizing outcomes, especially over longer-term follow-up (>18 months) when placebo-controlled studies are infeasible. We developed a prognostic model for NSAA total score trajectories over at most 5 years of follow-up for patients with DMD aged 4 to < 16 years who were initially ambulatory and receiving corticosteroids but no other disease-modifying therapies. The model was based on longitudinal data from four natural history databases: UZ Leuven, PRO-DMD-01 (provided by CureDuchenne), the North Star Clinical Network, and iMDEX. Candidate predictors included age, height, weight, body mass index, steroid type and regime, NSAA total score, rise from floor velocity and 10-meter walk/run velocity, as well as DMD genotype class, index year, and data source. Among N=416 patients at baseline, mean age was 8.2 years, mean NSAA total score was 24, and 61% were receiving prednisone and 39% deflazacort, with the majority having been treated with daily corticosteroid regimens (69%) relative to other regimens (31%). Patients had an average of four NSAA assessments post-baseline during a median follow-up of 2.6 years (inter-quartile range 1.9 to 3.6 years). The best-fitting model in the full study sample explained 39% of the variation in NSAA total score changes, with prediction errors of \ub13.6, 5.1, 5.9, 7.5, 9.5 NSAA units during follow-up years 1-5, respectively. The most important predictors were baseline age, NSAA, rise from floor velocity, and 10-meter walk/run velocity. In conclusion, trajectories of ambulatory motor function in DMD, as measured by the NSAA total score, can be well-predicted using readily available baseline characteristics. We discuss applications of these predictions to DMD drug development

Neuroendocrine tumors with syndromic vasoactive intestinal polypeptide hypersecretion: a retrospective study

Aim: Vasoactive intestinal polypeptide producing neuroendocrine tumors are rare and cause severe hormonal symptoms. Patients/methods: Eighteen patients with vasoactive intestinal polypeptide producing neuroendocrine tumors were analyzed with reviews of medical records, radiology and tumor tissue specimens. Results: Twelve patients (67%) had liver metastases at diagnosis. Chemotherapy, somatostatin analogs and interferon were given as medical therapies. Streptozocin/5-fluorouracil produced an objective response in 40% of the evaluable patients. Somatostatin analogs gave a clinical/biochemical response in eight out of nine patients. Transarterial embolization of the liver and peptide receptor radionuclide therapy was given to refractory cases. Sixteen patients died during the observation period. The median overall survival from diagnosis was 102 months. Conclusion: Systemic chemotherapy and somatostatin analogs should be given in cases of advanced disease or for hormonal symptoms.</p