Documentation of a fully integrated epidemiological-demographic-macroeconomic model of Malaria: The case of Ghana

We develop a novel and fully integrated epidemiological-demographic-macroeconomic EDM-malaria simulation model framework for modelling of P. falciparum malaria transmission in Ghana. Our model framework represents a milestone, as the first fully integrated EDM model framework for any type of infectious disease. The complex specification and integration of regional epidemiological-demographic models within a malaria-focussed macroeconomic Computable General Equilibrium model is fully described and documented, and ideas are outlined for future applications to investigate the interplay between macroeconomic and health disease burdens, to measure the health and economic impacts of economic growth and malaria interventions, and to study the importance (or lack thereof) of the general omission of proper epidemiological underpinnings and integration of economic incentive feedback effects in the existing literature on macroeconomic assessment of infectious disease

A Decomposed Fourier-Motzkin Elimination Framework to Derive Vessel Capacity Models

Accurate Vessel Capacity Models (VCMs) expressing thetrade-off between different container types that can be stowed on containervessels are required in core liner shipping functions such as uptake-,capacity-, and network management. Today, simple models based on volume,weight, and refrigerated container capacity are used for these tasks,which causes overestimations that hamper decision making. Though previouswork on stowage planning optimization in principle provide finegrainedlinear Vessel Stowage Models (VSMs), these are too complexto be used in the mentioned functions. As an alternative, this papercontributes a novel framework based on Fourier-Motzkin Eliminationthat automatically derives VCMs from VSMs by projecting unneededvariables. Our results show that the projected VCMs are reduced byan order of magnitude and can be solved 20–34 times faster than theircorresponding VSMs with only a negligible loss in accuracy. Our frameworkis applicable to LP models in general, but are particularly effectiveon block-angular structured problems such as VSMs. We show similarresults for a multi-commodity flow problem

Boundary Conditions and Unitarity: the Maxwell-Chern-Simons System in AdS_3/CFT_2

We consider the holography of the Abelian Maxwell-Chern-Simons (MCS) system in Lorentzian three-dimensional asymptotically-AdS spacetimes, and discuss a broad class of boundary conditions consistent with conservation of the symplectic structure. As is well-known, the MCS theory contains a massive sector dual to a vector operator in the boundary theory, and a topological sector consisting of flat connections dual to U(1) chiral currents; the boundary conditions we examine include double-trace deformations in these two sectors, as well as a class of boundary conditions that mix the vector operators with the chiral currents. We carefully study the symplectic product of bulk modes and show that almost all such boundary conditions induce instabilities and/or ghost excitations, consistent with violations of unitarity bounds in the dual theory.Comment: 50+1 pages, 6 figures, PDFLaTeX; v2: added references, corrected typo

Continuous Hawking-Page transitions in Einstein-scalar gravity

We investigate continuous Hawking-Page transitions in Einstein's gravity coupled to a scalar field with an arbitrary potential in the weak gravity limit. We show that this is only possible in a singular limit where the black-hole horizon marginally traps a curvature singularity. Depending on the subleading terms in the potential, a rich variety of continuous phase transitions arise. Our examples include second and higher order, including the Berezinskii-Kosterlitz-Thouless type. In the case when the scalar is dilaton, the condition for a continuous phase transition lead to (asymptotically) linear-dilaton background. We obtain the scaling laws of thermodynamic functions, as well as the viscosity coefficients near the transition. In the limit of weak gravitational interactions, the bulk viscosity asymptotes to a universal constant, independent of the details of the scalar potential. As a byproduct of our analysis we obtain a one-parameter family of kink solutions in arbitrary dimension d that interpolate between AdS near the boundary and linear-dilaton background in the deep interior. The continuous Hawking-Page transitions found here serve as holographic models for normal-to superfluid transitions.Comment: 35 pages + appendice

The Common Oceanographer: Crowdsourcing the Collection of Oceanographic Data

5 page(s

The Effective Fragment Molecular Orbital Method for Fragments Connected by Covalent Bonds

We extend the effective fragment molecular orbital method (EFMO) into treating fragments connected by covalent bonds. The accuracy of EFMO is compared to FMO and conventional ab initio electronic structure methods for polypeptides including proteins. Errors in energy for RHF and MP2 are within 2 kcal/mol for neutral polypeptides and 6 kcal/mol for charged polypeptides similar to FMO but obtained two to five times faster. For proteins, the errors are also within a few kcal/mol of the FMO results. We developed both the RHF and MP2 gradient for EFMO. Compared to ab initio, the EFMO optimized structures had an RMSD of 0.40 and 0.44 {\AA} for RHF and MP2, respectively.Comment: Revised manuscrip

Heart rate variability and target organ damage in hypertensive patients

Background: We evaluated the association between linear standard Heart Rate Variability (HRV) measures and vascular, renal and cardiac target organ damage (TOD). Methods: A retrospective analysis was performed including 200 patients registered in the Regione Campania network (aged 62.4 ± 12, male 64%). HRV analysis was performed by 24-h holter ECG. Renal damage was assessed by estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), vascular damage by carotid intima-media thickness (IMT), and cardiac damage by left ventricular mass index. Results: Significantly lower values of the ratio of low to high frequency power (LF/HF) were found in the patients with moderate or severe eGFR (p-value < 0.001). Similarly, depressed values of indexes of the overall autonomic modulation on heart were found in patients with plaque compared to those with a normal IMT (p-value <0.05). These associations remained significant after adjustment for other factors known to contribute to the development of target organ damage, such as age. Moreover, depressed LF/HF was found also in patients with left ventricular hypertrophy but this association was not significant after adjustment for other factors. Conclusions: Depressed HRV appeared to be associated with vascular and renal TOD, suggesting the involvement of autonomic imbalance in the TOD. However, as the mechanisms by which abnormal autonomic balance may lead to TOD, and, particularly, to renal organ damage are not clearly known, further prospective studies with longitudinal design are needed to determine the association between HRV and the development of TOD