Sugar Beets in South Dakota

At the close of the work for 1897 it became evident that no further progress could be made in determining the saccharine strength of beets grown in this state. The results were all that could be desired in every way. It was suggested, however, by factory builders and intending investors that the securing of commercial data was necessary. It was suggested that our \u27next need was to ascertain the cost per acre of producing the beets, and also to determine the tonnage from large plats where the beets were all harvested and weighed, in order that commercial conditions might be obtained. At the same time Dr. H. W. Wiley, Chief Chemist, United States Department of Agriculture, suggested the same line of work for this Station to follow. Also, since the sugar beet investigation for the United States had been placed in his charge he offered to furnish us with the necessary seed and to give any other assistance in his power. Urged by these considerations, this Station again resumed the experiments with sugar beets. It was deemed best to confine the work to a few localities rather than to send the seed promiscuously over the State. Preferably those localities were selected which had been making efforts towards securing sugar factories. In pursuance of this policy five points were selected, viz, Aberdeen, Huron, Yankton, Sioux Falls, and Brookings. Committees were selected in each locality and advised to organize and to make united efforts to obtain the commercial data required. In each place the committee elected a president and secretary, and entered upon the work with hearty good will. The seed furnished to this Station by the Department of Agriculture, through the kindness of Dr. Wiley, was distributed to these different committees. Instructions for preparing the ground, sowing, cultivating, and thinning were furnished to the committees. It was the intention of the writer to visit these different stations during the season. He was able to inspect the plants grown at th1ee of them. The committees were urged to obtain photographs and to make their data as full and explicit as possible, since it was the expectation to discontinue this work at the close of the present season. Photographs of some of the plants grown have been secured and will appear in their appropriate places in this Bulletin

Limits on the gravity wave contribution to microwave anisotropies

We present limits on the fraction of large angle microwave anisotropies which could come from tensor perturbations. We use the COBE results as well as smaller scale CMB observations, measurements of galaxy correlations, abundances of galaxy clusters, and Lyman alpha absorption cloud statistics. Our aim is to provide conservative limits on the tensor-to-scalar ratio for standard inflationary models. For power-law inflation, for example, we find T/S<0.52 at 95% confidence, with a similar constraint for phi^p potentials. However, for models with tensor amplitude unrelated to the scalar spectral index it is still currently possible to have T/S>1.Comment: 23 pages, 7 figures, accepted for publication in Phys. Rev. D. Calculations extended to blue spectral index, Fig. 6 added, discussion of results expande

Chaos assisted tunnelling with cold atoms

In the context of quantum chaos, both theory and numerical analysis predict large fluctuations of the tunnelling transition probabilities when irregular dynamics is present at the classical level. We consider here the non-dissipative quantum evolution of cold atoms trapped in a time-dependent modulated periodic potential generated by two laser beams. We give some precise guidelines for the observation of chaos assisted tunnelling between invariant phase space structures paired by time-reversal symmetry.Comment: submitted to Phys. Rev. E ; 16 pages, 13 figures; figures of better quality can be found at http://www.phys.univ-tours.fr/~mouchet

Is cosmology consistent?

We perform a detailed analysis of the latest CMB measurements (including BOOMERaNG, DASI, Maxima and CBI), both alone and jointly with other cosmological data sets involving, e.g., galaxy clustering and the Lyman Alpha Forest. We first address the question of whether the CMB data are internally consistent once calibration and beam uncertainties are taken into account, performing a series of statistical tests. With a few minor caveats, our answer is yes, and we compress all data into a single set of 24 bandpowers with associated covariance matrix and window functions. We then compute joint constraints on the 11 parameters of the ``standard'' adiabatic inflationary cosmological model. Out best fit model passes a series of physical consistency checks and agrees with essentially all currently available cosmological data. In addition to sharp constraints on the cosmic matter budget in good agreement with those of the BOOMERaNG, DASI and Maxima teams, we obtain a heaviest neutrino mass range 0.04-4.2 eV and the sharpest constraints to date on gravity waves which (together with preference for a slight red-tilt) favors ``small-field'' inflation models.Comment: Replaced to match accepted PRD version. 14 pages, 12 figs. Tiny changes due to smaller DASI & Maxima calibration errors. Expanded neutrino and tensor discussion, added refs, typos fixed. Combined CMB data, window and covariance matrix at http://www.hep.upenn.edu/~max/consistent.html or from [email protected]

Next-generation test of cosmic inflation

The increasing precision of cosmological datasets is opening up new opportunities to test predictions from cosmic inflation. Here we study the impact of high precision constraints on the primordial power spectrum and show how a new generation of observations can provide impressive new tests of the slow-roll inflation paradigm, as well as produce significant discriminating power among different slow-roll models. In particular, we consider next-generation measurements of the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) temperature anisotropies and (especially) polarization, as well as new Lyman-$\alpha$ measurements that could become practical in the near future. We emphasize relationships between the slope of the power spectrum and its first derivative that are nearly universal among existing slow-roll inflationary models, and show how these relationships can be tested on several scales with new observations. Among other things, our results give additional motivation for an all-out effort to measure CMB polarization.Comment: 10 pages, 8 figures, to appear in PRD; major changes are a reanalysis in terms of better cosmological parameters and clarifications on the contributions of polarization and Lyman-alpha dat

Inflation at Low Scales: General Analysis and a Detailed Model

Models of inflationary cosmology based on spontaneous symmetry breaking typically suffer from the shortcoming that the symmetry breaking scale is driven to nearly the Planck scale by observational constraints. In this paper we investigate inflationary potentials in a general context, and show that this difficulty is characteristic only of potentials $V(\phi)$ dominated near their maxima by terms of order $\phi^2$. We find that potentials dominated by terms of order $\phi^m$ with \hbox{$m > 2$} can satisfy observational constraints at an arbitrary symmetry breaking scale. Of particular interest, the spectral index of density fluctuations is shown to depend only on the order of the lowest non-vanishing derivative of $V(\phi)$ near the maximum. This result is illustrated in the context of a specific model, with a broken ${\rm SO(3)}$ symmetry, in which the potential is generated by gauge boson loops.Comment: Submitted to Phys. Rev. D. 32 Pages, REVTeX. No figure

Cosmological parameter estimation and the inflationary cosmology

We consider approaches to cosmological parameter estimation in the inflationary cosmology, focussing on the required accuracy of the initial power spectra. Parametrizing the spectra, for example by power-laws, is well suited to testing the inflationary paradigm but will only correctly estimate cosmological parameters if the parametrization is sufficiently accurate, and we investigate conditions under which this is achieved both for present data and for upcoming satellite data. If inflation is favoured, reliable estimation of its physical parameters requires an alternative approach adopting its detailed predictions. For slow-roll inflation, we investigate the accuracy of the predicted spectra at first and second order in the slow-roll expansion (presenting the complete second-order corrections for the tensors for the first time). We find that within the presently-allowed parameter space, there are regions where it will be necessary to include second-order corrections to reach the accuracy requirements of MAP and Planck satellite data. We end by proposing a data analysis pipeline appropriate for testing inflation and for cosmological parameter estimation from high-precision data.Comment: 15 pages RevTeX file with figures incorporated. Slow-roll inflation module for use with the CAMB program can be found at http://astronomy.cpes.susx.ac.uk/~sleach/inflation/ This version corrects a typo in the definition of z_S (after Eq.1) and supersedes the journal versio

The last stand before MAP: cosmological parameters from lensing, CMB and galaxy clustering

Cosmic shear measurements have now improved to the point where they deserve to be treated on par with CMB and galaxy clustering data for cosmological parameter analysis, using the full measured aperture mass variance curve rather than a mere phenomenological parametrization thereof. We perform a detailed 9-parameter analysis of recent lensing (RCS), CMB (up to Archeops) and galaxy clustering (2dF) data, both separately and jointly. CMB and 2dF data are consistent with a simple flat adiabatic scale-invariant model with Omega_Lambda=0.72+/-0.09, omega_cdm=0.115+/- 0.013, omega_b=0.024+/-0.003, and a hint of reionization around z~8. Lensing helps further tighten these constraints, but reveals tension regarding the power spectrum normalization: including the RCS survey results raises sigma8 significantly and forces other parameters to uncomfortable values. Indeed, sigma8 is emerging as the currently most controversial cosmological parameter, and we discuss possible resolutions of this sigma8 problem. We also comment on the disturbing fact that many recent analyses (including this one) obtain error bars smaller than the Fisher matrix bound. We produce a CMB power spectrum combining all existing experiments, and using it for a "MAP versus world" comparison next month will provide a powerful test of how realistic the error estimates have been in the cosmology community.Comment: Added references and Fisher error discussion. Combined CMB data, window and covariance matrix for January "MAP vs World" contest at http://www.hep.upenn.edu/~max/cmblsslens.html or from [email protected]

Weak Lensing and Dark Energy

We study the power of upcoming weak lensing surveys to probe dark energy. Dark energy modifies the distance-redshift relation as well as the matter power spectrum, both of which affect the weak lensing convergence power spectrum. Some dark-energy models predict additional clustering on very large scales, but this probably cannot be detected by weak lensing alone due to cosmic variance. With reasonable prior information on other cosmological parameters, we find that a survey covering 1000 sq. deg. down to a limiting magnitude of R=27 can impose constraints comparable to those expected from upcoming type Ia supernova and number-count surveys. This result, however, is contingent on the control of both observational and theoretical systematics. Concentrating on the latter, we find that the {\it nonlinear} power spectrum of matter perturbations and the redshift distribution of source galaxies both need to be determined accurately in order for weak lensing to achieve its full potential. Finally, we discuss the sensitivity of the three-point statistics to dark energy.Comment: 16 pages, revtex. Peacock-Dodds PS used for all w, which weakens the constraints. Tomography sec. expanded, estimate included of how well systematics need to be controlle