Pathogenesis and Management of COVID-19

COVID-19, occurring due to SARS-COV-2 infection, is the most recent pandemic disease that has led to three million deaths at the time of writing. A great deal of effort has been directed towards altering the virus trajectory and/or managing the interactions of the virus with its subsequent targets in the human body; these interactions can lead to a chain reaction-like state manifested by a cytokine storm and progress to multiple organ failure. During cytokine storms the ratio of pro-inflammatory to anti-inflammatory mediators is generally increased, which contributes to the instigation of hyper-inflammation and confers advantages to the virus. Because cytokine expression patterns fluctuate from one person to another and even within the same person from one time to another, we suggest a road map of COVID-19 management using an individual approach instead of focusing on the blockbuster process (one treatment for most people, if not all). Here, we highlight the biology of the virus, study the interaction between the virus and humans, and present potential pharmacological and non-pharmacological modulators that might contribute to the global war against SARS-COV-2. We suggest an algorithmic roadmap to manage COVID-19

Remaining useful life estimation: review

This paper reviews the recent modelling developments in estimating the remaining useful life (RUL) of industrial systems. The RUL estimation models are categorized into experimental, data driven, physics based and hybrid approaches. The paper reviews some typical approaches and discusses their advantages and disadvantages. According to the literature, the selection of the best model depends on the level of accuracy and availability of data. In cases of quick estimations which are less accurate, the data driven method is preferred, while the physics based approach is applied when the accuracy of estimation is important.</p

Acute coronary syndrome rule-out strategies in the emergency department: an observational evaluation of clinical effectiveness and current UK practice

\ua9 Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2025. Background: Numerous strategies have been developed to rapidly rule-out acute coronary syndrome (ACS) using high-sensitivity troponin. We aimed to establish their performance in terms of emergency care length of stay (LOS) in real-world practice. Methods: A multicentre observational cohort study in 94 UK sites between March and April 2023. Recruitment was preferably prospective, with retrospective recruitment also allowed. Adults presenting to the ED with chest pain triggering assessment for possible ACS were eligible. Primary outcome was emergency care LOS. Secondary outcomes were index rate of acute myocardial infarction (MI), time to be seen (TTBS), disposition and discharge diagnosis. Details of ACS rule-out strategies in use were collected from local guidelines. Mixed effects linear regression models tested the association between rule-out strategy and LOS. Results: 8563 eligible patients were recruited, representing 5.3% of all ED attendances. Median LOS for all patients was 333 min (IQR 225, 510.5), for admitted patients was 460 min (IQR 239.75, 776.25) and for discharged patients was 313 min (IQR 221, 451). Heterogeneity was seen in the rule-out strategies with regard to recommended troponin timing. There was no significant difference in LOS in discharged patients between rule-out strategies defined by single and serial troponin timing (p=0.23 and p=0.41). The index rate of acute MI was 15.2% (1301/8563). Median TTBS was 120 min (IQR 57, 212). 24.4% (2087/8563) of patients were partly managed in a same day emergency care unit and 70% (5934/8563) of patients were discharged from emergency care. Conclusion: Despite heterogeneity in the ACS rule-out strategies in use and widespread adoption of rapid rule-out approaches, this study saw little effect on LOS in real-world practice. Suspected cardiac chest pain still accounts for a significant proportion of UK ED attendances. ED system pressures are likely to be explanatory, but further research is needed to understand the reasons for the unrealised potential of these strategies

1013 Preoperative Nasopharyngeal Swab Testing and Postoperative Pulmonary Complications in Patients Undergoing Elective Surgery During The SARS-Cov-2 Pandemic

Abstract Introduction This study aimed to evaluate the association between preoperative SARS-CoV-2 testing and postoperative pulmonary complications in patients undergoing elective cancer surgery. Method International cohort study including adult patients undergoing elective surgery for cancer in areas affected by SARS-CoV-2 up to 19 April 2020 (NCT04384926). Patients suspected preoperatively of SARS-CoV-2 infection were excluded. The primary outcome measure was postoperative pulmonary complications at 30 days after surgery. Results Of 8784 patients (432 hospitals, 53 countries), 2303 patients (26.2%) underwent preoperative testing: 1458 (16.6%) had a swab test, 521 (5.9%) CT only, and 324 (3.7%) swab and CT. The overall pulmonary complication rate was 3.9% and SARS-CoV-2 infection rate was 2.6%. After risk adjustment, only a nasopharyngeal swab test (adjusted odds ratio 0.68, 95% confidence interval 0.68-0.98, p = 0.040) was associated with lower rates of pulmonary complications. Swab testing remained beneficial before major surgery and in high SARS-CoV-2 population risk areas but not before minor surgery in low incidence areas. Conclusions Preoperative nasopharyngeal swab testing was beneficial before major surgery and in high SARS-CoV-2 incidence areas. There was no proven benefit of swab testing before minor surgery in low incidence areas. </jats:sec