A Discrete Event Simulation model to evaluate the treatment pathways of patients with Cataract in the United Kingdom

Background The number of people affected by cataract in the United Kingdom (UK) is growing rapidly due to ageing population. As the only way to treat cataract is through surgery, there is a high demand for this type of surgery and figures indicate that it is the most performed type of surgery in the UK. The National Health Service (NHS), which provides free of charge care in the UK, is under huge financial pressure due to budget austerity in the last decade. As the number of people affected by the disease is expected to grow significantly in coming years, the aim of this study is to evaluate whether the introduction of new processes and medical technologies will enable cataract services to cope with the demand within the NHS funding constraints. Methods We developed a Discrete Event Simulation model representing the cataract services pathways at Leicester Royal Infirmary Hospital. The model was inputted with data from national and local sources as well as from a surgery demand forecasting model developed in the study. The model was verified and validated with the participation of the cataract services clinical and management teams. Results Four scenarios involving increased number of surgeries per half-day surgery theatre slot were simulated. Results indicate that the total number of surgeries per year could be increased by 40% at no extra cost. However, the rate of improvement decreases for increased number of surgeries per half-day surgery theatre slot due to a higher number of cancelled surgeries. Productivity is expected to improve as the total number of doctors and nurses hours will increase by 5 and 12% respectively. However, non-human resources such as pre-surgery rooms and post-surgery recovery chairs are under-utilized across all scenarios. Conclusions Using new processes and medical technologies for cataract surgery is a promising way to deal with the expected higher demand especially as this could be achieved with limited impact on costs. Non-human resources capacity need to be evenly levelled across the surgery pathway to improve their utilisation. The performance of cataract services could be improved by better communication with and proactive management of patients.Peer reviewedFinal Published versio

Health-care costs of losartan and candesartan in the primary treatment of hypertension

A recent study of two widely used angiotensin receptor blockers reported a reduced risk of cardiovascular events (−14.4%) when using candesartan compared with losartan in the primary treatment of hypertension. In addition to clinical benefits, costs associated with treatment strategies must be considered when allocating scarce health-care resources. The aim of this study was to assess resource use and costs of losartan and candesartan in hypertensive patients. Resource use (drugs, outpatient contacts, hospitalizations and laboratory tests) associated with losartan and candesartan treatment was estimated in 14 100 patients in a real-life clinical setting. We electronically extracted patient data from primary care records and mandatory Swedish national registers for death and hospitalization. Patients treated with losartan had more outpatient contacts (+15.6%), laboratory tests (+13.8%) and hospitalizations (+13.8%) compared with the candesartan group. During a maximum observation time of 9 years, the mean total costs per patient were 10 369 Swedish kronor (95% confidence interval: 3109–17 629) higher in the losartan group. In conclusion, prescribing candesartan for the primary treatment of hypertension results in lower long-term health-care costs compared with losartan

Optimal Management of Marine Inspection with Autonomous Underwater Vehicles

t New technologies and system communications are being applied in the industry, improving the efficiency and effectiveness. This paper is focused on novel technologies, software and materials that allow to explore deep ocean floor. Autonomous underwater vehicles require planning navigation models and algorithms. Sensors equipped in underwater vehicles allow to inspect and analyse inaccessible areas. Monitor and control measurement process is required to ensure suitable underwater operations. This paper presents a model using the main inspection process variables. The model calculates the field of view of the autonomous underwater vehicle to be determined according to the type of sensor, the orientation and the distance from the floor. This study aims at stabilising the fundaments to develop an autonomous route for the autonomous underwater vehicles and optimize its operation performance

Подготовка ИТ-консультантов в российских вузах в разрезе проблематики консалтинга

Differences in clinical effectiveness between angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEis) and angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) in the primary treatment of hypertension are unknown. The aim of this retrospective cohort study was to assess the prevention of type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in patients treated with ARBs or ACEis. Patients initiated on enalapril or candesartan treatment in 71 Swedish primary care centers between 1999 and 2007 were included. Medical records data were extracted and linked with nationwide hospital discharge and cause of death registers. The 11 725 patients initiated on enalapril and 4265 on candesartan had similar baseline characteristics. During a mean follow-up of 1.84 years, 36 482 patient-years, the risk of new diabetes onset was lower in the candesartan group (hazard ratio (HR) 0.81, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.69-0.96, P = 0.01) compared with the enalapril group. No difference between the groups was observed in CVD risk (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.87-1.13, P = 0.86). More patients discontinued treatment in the enalapril group (38.1%) vs the candesartan group (27.2%). In a clinical setting, patients initiated on candesartan treatment had a lower risk of new-onset type 2 diabetes and lower rates of drug discontinuation compared with patients initiated on enalapril. No differences in CVD risk were observed

Heart murmurs recorded by a sensor based electronic stethoscope and e-mailed for remote assessment

Background: Heart murmurs are common in children, and they are often referred to a specialist for examination. A clinically innocent murmur does not need further investigation. The referral area of the University Hospital is large and sparsely populated. A new service for remote auscultation (telemedicine) of heart murmurs in children was established where heart sounds and short texts were sent as an attachment to e-mails. Aim: To assess the clinical quality of this method. Methods: Heart sounds from 47 patients with no murmur (n = 7), with innocent murmurs (n = 20), or with pathological murmurs (n = 20) were recorded using a sensor based stethoscope and e-mailed to a remote computer. The sounds were repeated, giving 100 cases that were randomly distributed on a compact disc. Four cardiologists assessed and categorised the cases as having "no murmur", "innocent murmur", or "pathological murmur", recorded the assessment time per case, their degree of certainty, and whether they recommended referral. Results: On average, 2.1 minutes were spent on each case. The mean sensitivity and specificity were 89.7% and 98.2% respectively, and the inter-observer and intra-observer variabilities were low (kappa 0.81 and 0.87), respectively. A total of 93.4% of cases with a pathological murmur and 12.6% of cases with an innocent murmur were recommended for referral. Conclusion: Telemedical referral of patients with heart murmurs for remote assessment by a cardiologist is safe and saves time. Skilled auscultation is adequate to detect patients with innocent murmurs

Diabetes and CVD risk during angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor or angiotensin II receptor blocker treatment in hypertension : a study of 15 990 patients

Differences in clinical effectiveness between angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEis) and angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) in the primary treatment of hypertension are unknown. The aim of this retrospective cohort study was to assess the prevention of type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in patients treated with ARBs or ACEis. Patients initiated on enalapril or candesartan treatment in 71 Swedish primary care centers between 1999 and 2007 were included. Medical records data were extracted and linked with nationwide hospital discharge and cause of death registers. The 11 725 patients initiated on enalapril and 4265 on candesartan had similar baseline characteristics. During a mean follow-up of 1.84 years, 36 482 patient-years, the risk of new diabetes onset was lower in the candesartan group (hazard ratio (HR) 0.81, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.69-0.96, P = 0.01) compared with the enalapril group. No difference between the groups was observed in CVD risk (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.87-1.13, P = 0.86). More patients discontinued treatment in the enalapril group (38.1%) vs the candesartan group (27.2%). In a clinical setting, patients initiated on candesartan treatment had a lower risk of new-onset type 2 diabetes and lower rates of drug discontinuation compared with patients initiated on enalapril. No differences in CVD risk were observed

2207Cardiovascular outcome in THEMIS -like type 2 diabetes patients in Sweden: a nationwide observational study

Abstract Background The THEMIS study (NCT01991795; in analysis phase; n=19,349) compares the effect of dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) vs ASA alone for the prevention of major cardiovascular (CV) events in type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) at high CV risk, but without prior myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke. However, there is a lack of real-life data on CV risk in a THEMIS-like population compared to MI patients, where treatment with DAPT is guideline standard. The aim of this study was to investigate the CV risk in a THEMIS-like population vs an MI population Methods Patients invasively managed in Sweden (2006–2014) were identified using the SWEDEHEART registry and the National Patient Registry. Two populations were studied: a THEMIS-like population including patients with CAD and T2D, ≥1 vessel disease or elective percutaneous coronary intervention [PCI], and no prior stroke or MI), and a MI patient population alive at discharge. The cumulative incidence of the primary composite outcome (CV death (CVD)/MI/stroke) was estimated 3 years after index using the Kaplan-Meier method, and with probability plots adjusted for age, sex, atrial fibrillation, and heart failure. A 30 days blanking period for outcome was added to ensure capture of new events (index THEMIS-pop.: after angiography; index MI-pop.: after discharge). Results Overall, 6,534 THEMIS-like patients and 96,638 MI patients were included. At index, the THEMIS-like patients (CAD and T2D without previous MI/stroke) were aged 67.1 years (mean), 26.6% women, 9.2% AF, and 4.7% HF, while the MI patients were aged 67.3 years (mean), 30.7% women, 15.5% T2D, 17.9% previous MI, 5.2% stroke, 6.4% AF, and 4.8% HF. Three-year cumulative incidence for the composite outcome CVD/MI/stroke was 0.149 (95% CI 0.140, 0.158) for THEMIS-like patients, and 0.148 (95% CI 0.145, 0,15) for MI patients (p=0.88 log rank test) (Figure). Corresponding adjusted probably plots: 0.135 (95% CI 0.127, 0.143) and 0.131 (95% CI 0.128, 0.133). MI was the main risk driver with greatest cumulative incidence in both populations (0.091 vs 0.087) (Figure). Figure 1 Conclusions In this Swedish real-life setting, THEMIS-like patients, followed from 30 days after invasive intervention, had a similar long-term risk for CV events compared with MI patients surviving 30 days after discharge, with MI as the main risk driver, despite having no previous ischemic events. The present data indicate that long-term ischemic risk prevention should be a key strategy in coronary artery disease patients with diabetes requiring elective invasive intervention. Acknowledgement/Funding AstraZeneca </jats:sec