The Importance of Calculating the Potential Gross Domestic Product in the Context of the Taylor Rule

Taylor stated humorously that his rule was so easy that it could be written down on the back of a business card. The reality shows that the practical use of this type of rule implies accepting many assumptions about its final shape. The article mentions only the matter of influence of calculating the potential GDP and output gap on the empirical relevance of the Taylor rule. Two ways of calculating potential GDP were presented, i.e. the HP filter and linear trend of the current and the real GDP both seasonally adjusted (an additive model with seasonal dummies; TRAMO/SEATS procedure).Taylor rule, output gap.

Obstructions to combinatorial formulas for plethysm

Motivated by questions of Mulmuley and Stanley we investigate quasi-polynomials arising in formulas for plethysm. We demonstrate, on the examples of $S^3(S^k)$ and $S^k(S^3)$, that these need not be counting functions of inhomogeneous polytopes of dimension equal to the degree of the quasi-polynomial. It follows that these functions are not, in general, counting functions of lattice points in any scaled convex bodies, even when restricted to single rays. Our results also apply to special rectangular Kronecker coefficients.Comment: 7 pages; v2: Improved version with further reaching counterexamples; v3: final version as in Electronic Journal of Combinatoric

Constructive degree bounds for group-based models

Group-based models arise in algebraic statistics while studying evolution processes. They are represented by embedded toric algebraic varieties. Both from the theoretical and applied point of view one is interested in determining the ideals defining the varieties. Conjectural bounds on the degree in which these ideals are generated were given by Sturmfels and Sullivant. We prove that for the 3-Kimura model, corresponding to the group G=Z2xZ2, the projective scheme can be defined by an ideal generated in degree 4. In particular, it is enough to consider degree 4 phylogenetic invariants to test if a given point belongs to the variety. We also investigate G-models, a generalization of abelian group-based models. For any G-model, we prove that there exists a constant $d$, such that for any tree, the associated projective scheme can be defined by an ideal generated in degree at most d.Comment: Boundedness results for equations defining the projective scheme were extended to G-models (including 2-Kimura and all JC

Toric geometry of the 3-Kimura model for any tree

In this paper we present geometric features of group based models. We focus on the 3-Kimura model. We present a precise geometric description of the variety associated to any tree on a Zariski open set. In particular this set contains all biologically meaningful points. Our motivation is a conjecture of Sturmfels and Sullivant on the degree in which the ideal associated to 3-Kimura model is generated

Cosmic-Ray Momentum Diffusion In Magnetosonic Versus Alfvenic Turbulent Field

Energetic particle transport in a finite amplitude magnetosonic and Alfvenic turbulence is considered using Monte Carlo particle simulations, which involve an integration of particle equation of motion. We show that in a low-Betha plasma cosmic ray can be the most important damping process for magnetosonic waves. Assuming such conditions we derive the momentum diffusion coefficient for relativistic particles in the presence of anisotropic finite-amplitude turbulent wave field, for flat and Kolmogorov-type turbulence spectra. We confirm the possibility of larger values of a momentum diffusion coefficient occuring due to transit-time damping resonance interaction in the presence of isotropic fast-mode waves in comparison to the Alfven waves of the same amplitude.Comment: 16 pages, 2 fig, macro for Solar Physcs, accepted for Solar Physic

Derived category of toric varieties with Picard number three

We construct a full, strongly exceptional collection of line bundles on the variety X that is the blow up of the projectivization of the vector bundle O_{P^{n-1}}\oplus O_{P^{n-1}}(b) along a linear space of dimension n-2, where b is a non-negative integer

Noise reduction in photon counting by exploiting spatial correlations

Joint photocount distributions of a weak twin beam acquired by an iCCD camera are analyzed with respect to the beam spatial correlations. A method for extracting these correlations from the experimental joint photocount distributions is suggested using a suitable statistical model that quantifies the contribution of spatial correlations to the joint photocount distributions. In detail, the profile of twin-beam intensity spatial cross-correlation function is revealed from the curve that gives the genuine mean photon-pair number (both photons from a pair are detected) as a function of the extent of the detection area. Also, the principle of reducing the noise in photon-number-resolving detection by using spatial correlations is experimentally demonstrated.Comment: 12 pages, 16 figure