Least Economic Cost Regional Water Supply Planning – Optimising Infrastructure Investments and Demand Management for South East England’s 17.6 Million People

This paper presents a deterministic capacity expansion optimisation model designed for large regional or national water supply systems. The annual model selects, sizes and schedules new options to meet predicted demands at minimum cost over a multi-year time horizon. Options include: supply-side schemes, demand management (water conservation) measures and bulk transfers. The problem is formulated as a mixed integer linear programming (MILP) optimisation model. Capital, operating, carbon, social and environmental costs of proposed discrete schemes are considered. User-defined annual water saving profiles for demand management schemes are allowed. Multiple water demand scenarios are considered simultaneously to ensure the supply–demand balance is preserved across high demand conditions and that variable costs are accurately assessed. A wide range of supplementary constraints are formulated to consider the interdependencies between schemes (pre-requisite, mutual exclusivity, etc.). A two-step optimisation scheme is introduced to prevent the infeasibilities that inevitably appear in real applications. The model was developed for and used by the ‘Water Resources in the South East’ stakeholder group to select which of the 316 available supply schemes (including imports) and 511 demand management options (considering 272 interdependencies) are to be activated to serve the inhabitants of South East of England. Selected schemes are scheduled and sized over a 25 year planning horizon. The model shows demand management options can play a significant role in the region’s water supply and should be considered alongside new supplies and regional transfers. Considering demand management schemes reduced overall total discounted economic costs by 10 % and removed two large reservoirs from the least-cost plan. This case-study optimisation model was built using a generalised data management software platform and solved using a mixed integer linear programme

Multi-boson effects and the normalization of the two-pion correlation function

The two-pion correlation function can be defined as a ratio of either the measured momentum distributions or the normalized momentum space probabilities. We show that the first alternative avoids certain ambiguities since then the normalization of the two-pion correlator contains important information on the multiplicity distribution of the event ensemble which is lost in the second alternative. We illustrate this explicitly for specific classes of event ensembles.Comment: 6 pages, three figures,submit to PR

Electrocardiographic markers of structural heart disease and predictors of death in 2332 unselected patients undergoing outpatient Holter recording

To test the hypothesis that the QS interval of ventricular ectopic beats (VEBs) (ventricular ectopic QS interval, VEQSI) would provide a marker for the presence of structural heart disease and a predictor of mortality

Bose-Einstein Correlations of Pion Wavepackets

A wavepacket model for a system of free pions, which takes into account the full permutation symmetry of the wavefunction and which is suitable for any phase space parametrization is developed. The properties of the resulting mixed ensembles and the two-particle correlation function are discussed. A physical interpretation of the chaoticity lambda as localizat of the pions in the source is presented. Two techniques to generate test-particles, which satisfy the probability densities of the wavepacket state, are studied: 1. A Monte Carlo procedure in momentum space based on the standard Metropolis technique. 2. A molecular dynamic procedure using Bohm's quantum theory of motion. In order to reduce the numerical complexity, the separation of the wavefunction into momentum space clusters is discussed. In this context th influence of an unauthorized factorization of the state, i. e. the omissio of interference terms, is investigated. It is shown that the correlation radius remains almost uneffected, but the chaoticity parameter decreases substantially. A similar effect is observed in systems with high multiplic where the omission of higher order corrections in the analysis of two-part correlations causes a reduction of the chaoticity and the radius. The approximative treatment of the Coulomb interaction between pions and source is investigated. The results suggest that Coulomb effects on the co radii are not symmetric for pion pairs of different charges. For negative the radius, integrated over the whole momentum spectrum, increases substan while for positive pions the radius remains almost unchanged.Comment: 15 pages, 8 figures, 0.8 Mb, uses ljour2-macro, Submitted to Z. Phys. A (1997

Resonance contributions to HBT correlation radii

We study the effect of resonance decays on intensity interferometry for heavy ion collisions. Collective expansion of the source leads to a dependence of the two-particle correlation function on the pair momentum K. This opens the possibility to reconstruct the dynamics of the source from the K-dependence of the measured HBT radii. Here we address the question to what extent resonance decays can fake such a flow signal. Within a simple parametrization for the emission function we present a comprehensive analysis of the interplay of flow and resonance decays on the one- and two-particle spectra. We discuss in detail the non-Gaussian features of the correlation function introduced by long-lived resonances and the resulting problems in extracting meaningful HBT radii. We propose to define them in terms of the second order q-moments of the correlator C(q, K). We show that this yields a more reliable characterisation of the correlator in terms of its width and the correlation strength `lambda' than other commonly used fit procedures. The normalized fourth-order q-moments (kurtosis) provide a quantitative measure for the non-Gaussian features of the correlator. At least for the class of models studied here, the kurtosis helps separating effects from expansion flow and resonance decays, and provides the cleanest signal to distinguish between scenarios with and without transverse flow.Comment: 23 pages, twocolumn RevTeX, 12 eps-figures included, minor changes following referee comment