Understanding the climate and net-zero transition risks and opportunities in Kyrgyzstan

Kyrgyzstan is already experiencing climate change impacts. Climate change projections for the 2050s indicate seasonal and annual shifts in both temperatures and precipitation, as well as increases in the frequency and intensity of extreme events that will affect the country's energy systems. Melting glaciers and snowpack could impact the generation capacity of large-scale hydropower in some river basins.Climate risks to energy infrastructure result from the combination of vulnerability, exposure and shifts in the frequency, intensity, duration and location of climate hazards. Climate risks have to be considered not only to individual infrastructure, but also for the energy system as a whole

Understanding the climate and net-zero transition risks and opportunities in Uzbekistan

Renewable energy potential remains untapped in Uzbekistan and it could be utilised to ensure energy mix diversification and a sustainable energy supply. Uzbekistan has the highest potential for solar energy when compared to Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, with some 80% of the country suitable for solar PV outputs of 1,400 to 1,600 kWh/kWp/year.The transition to renewable energy could make both public and private markets accessible to investors in Uzbekistan. An increased RE share in the energy mix can significantly increase Uzbekistan's generation capacities. Transition also presents an opportunity to integrate renewables and energy efficiency goals that could have a mutually advantageous impact on policy development to address climate change. A combined portfolio of renewables and energy efficiency technologies could reduce emissions by one-third to one-half

Understanding the climate and net-zero transition risks and opportunities in Tajikistan

Tajikistan is already experiencing climate change impacts. Climate change projections for the 2050s indicate seasonal and annual shifts in both temperatures and precipitation, as well as increases in the frequency and intensity of extreme events that will affect the country's energy systems. Melting glaciers and snowpack could impact the generation capacity of large-scale hydropower along some river reaches

Building forward better: A pathway to climate-resilient development in fragile and conflict-affected situations

People living in places affected by fragility and/or violent conflict are among the most vulnerable in the world to climate change. In these situations, a natural hazard – such as a flood or a drought – can quickly trigger disasters and exacerbate protracted crises.Individuals themselves cannot meaningfully be expected to adapt to climate change. What is needed is for actors in conflict-affected countries to work together to address the drivers of fragility, and enable peace, stability and systemic resilience – so that people have more options to manage challenges and embrace opportunities. We call this Building Forward Better.Building Forward Better will require a transformation in the way humanitarian, development, peacebuilding, disaster risk management and climate adaptation actors work in fragile and conflict-affected settings. This Framing note argues for a new way of thinking about and delivering the climate agenda in fragile and conflict-affected situations: one in which programmes and investments by all actors are linked, layered and sequenced in such a way that they mutually reinforce and support each other, and are informed by a clear understanding of the drivers of conflict and climate risks

Climate change, conflict and fragility : information and analysis to support programme design scoping for the climate and resilience framework programme (CLARE)

This in-depth paper provides important resource links and references regarding approaches to ensuring that climate change programming and policies in fragile and conflict-affected contexts do not exacerbate conflict. It examines evidence gaps in addition to what is known, from multiple disciplinary perspectives, including disaster risk reduction (DRR), conflict sensitivity, climate adaptation and conflict and humanitarian research and programmes. Regarding funding, design and delivery of programmes, programming for uncertainty (in relation to both conflict dynamics and climate change) should be built into the funding set-up. Proper climate analysis, including attribution and sensitivity analysis, continues to be lacking in many climate-conflict studies.UK Department for International Development (DFID

Moving with risk: Forced displacement and vulnerability to hazards in Colombia

The paper examines the processes through which people forced from their homes by conflict can become exposed to heightened risk from environmental hazards in the places where they resettle. It reports on research undertaken with internally displaced people who moved to informal settlements in four locations in Colombia. With one of the world’s largest displaced populations and a high annual incidence of hazard events such as landslides and floods, enabling people to create a durable sense of security in their places of resettlement is a major development challenge for the country. However, as the testimonies from individual experiences and perspectives makes clear, this problem is not one that can or should be addressed simply by enforcing existing land use and tenure regulations. The study combined qualitative interview methods with arts-based elements designed to facilitate and open up dialogue with research participants. We found that creating a permanent home, however modest, has symbolic meaning that reflects both personal struggle and collective effort: it represents security and stability, even in sites people know are associated with hazards. In tracing how they have interacted with multiple forms of risk, our work shows how displaced people have had to weigh up the threats they face against limited resettlement options, in an ongoing context of marginalisation. For complex reasons, this is a population that tends to be excluded from formal disaster preparedness and mitigation. However, there are indications that this prevailing situation could be challenged, promoting greater flexibility on the part of governmental organisations and enabling communities to become more engaged in disaster risk reduction. In bringing empirical depth to a topic of global significance at the intersection of displacement, disaster and development, we support the call for adaptable approaches to disaster risk management that can support displaced people more effectively and equitably