"Oil actually". Chinese and U.S. energy security policies in the Caspian Region

China and the U.S. are both great powers with vast and rapidly increasing consumption of oil. Despite considerable domestic production, this has resulted in a need for imports. Dependence on unstable oil producers outside American or Chinese control is considered by both states as an economic problem, but more importantly as a potential threat to national security. The thesis particularly emphasizes the security aspects of this dependence, in other words questions of energy security, which are viewed as increasingly important by the governments of both countries. This is a case study looking at the policies of China and the U.S., aimed at improving their national energy security, in the Caspian Sea region, which is an emerging (or arguably re-emerging) oil producing region in a global context. A considerable volume of empirical data has been collected in order to gain an overview of these policies, which have then been analyzed in light of categories borrowed from neoliberal and neorealist theories of international relations. A main conclusion of the thesis is that the policies applied to ensure access to the oil resources of the Caspian Sea region vary a great deal and often cannot be satisfactorily explained by traditional theories of international relations. Furthermore, we conclude that aggressive state policies aimed at securing access to oil resources may result in a domino effect as oil becomes scarcer. The findings of this thesis leave the door open for, and will hopefully contribute to, further studies both of energy security policy in general and in the region in particular. The thesis could prove especially useful as a starting point for inter-state or inter-regional comparisons, which may potentially contribute to wider generalizations. Such generalizations were not attempted in this thesis, as case studies do not lend themselves well to such endeavors, although certain more context-specific generalizations were presented

Avisdrift under føydalt anarki –Vesteraalens Avis under krig og okkupasjon 1939-1945

Master i samfunnsvitenskap med fordypning i historie - Nord universitet, 202

Predicting the foraging patterns of wintering Auks using a sea surface temperature model for the Barents Sea

1. The conservation of seabirds is increasingly important for their role as indicator species of ocean ecosystems, which are predicted to experience increasing levels of exploitation this century. Safeguarding these ecosystems will require predictive, spatial studies of seabird foraging hotspots. Current research on seabird foraging hotspots has established a significant relationship between probability of presence and several environmental variables, including Sea Surface Temperature (SST). However, inter-annual, basin-wide variation has the potential to invalidate these models, which depend on seasonal mesoscale variability. 2. In this study, we present a novel solution to predict presence from spatially and temporally variable environmental predictors, while reducing the influence of large-scale basin-wide variation. We model the Maximum Entropy (MaxENT) Model-derived relationship between Standardized Monthly SST (StdSST) and Habitat Suitability using Gaussian curve models, and then apply these models to independent StdSST data to produce heatmaps of predicted seabird presence. 3. In this study, we demonstrate StdSST to be a functional environmental predictor of seabird presence, within a Gaussian curve model framework. We demonstrate accurate predictions of the model’s training data and of independent seabird presence data to a high degree of accuracy (area under the receiver operator characteristic curve > 0.65) for four species of Auk: Common Guillemots (Uria aalge), Razorbills (Alca torda), Atlantic Puffins (Fratercula arctica) and Brunnich’s Guillemots (Uria lomvia). 4. We believe that the methodology we have developed and tested in this study can be used to guide ecosystem management practices by converting coupled-climate model predictions into predictions of future presence based on Habitat Suitability for the species, allowing us to consider the possible effects of climate change and yearly variation of SST on foraging seabird hotspots in the Barents Sea Atlantic Puffin, Barents Sea, Brunnich’s Guillemot, Common Guillemot, ecological modelling, MaxENT, Razorbill, spatial ecologypublishedVersio

Predicting the foraging patterns of wintering Auks using a sea surface temperature model for the Barents Sea

1. The conservation of seabirds is increasingly important for their role as indicator species of ocean ecosystems, which are predicted to experience increasing levels of exploitation this century. Safeguarding these ecosystems will require predictive, spatial studies of seabird foraging hotspots. Current research on seabird foraging hotspots has established a significant relationship between probability of presence and several environmental variables, including Sea Surface Temperature (SST). However, inter-annual, basin-wide variation has the potential to invalidate these models, which depend on seasonal mesoscale variability. 2. In this study, we present a novel solution to predict presence from spatially and temporally variable environmental predictors, while reducing the influence of large-scale basin-wide variation. We model the Maximum Entropy (MaxENT) Model-derived relationship between Standardized Monthly SST (StdSST) and Habitat Suitability using Gaussian curve models, and then apply these models to independent StdSST data to produce heatmaps of predicted seabird presence. 3. In this study, we demonstrate StdSST to be a functional environmental predictor of seabird presence, within a Gaussian curve model framework. We demonstrate accurate predictions of the model’s training data and of independent seabird presence data to a high degree of accuracy (area under the receiver operator characteristic curve > 0.65) for four species of Auk: Common Guillemots (Uria aalge), Razorbills (Alca torda), Atlantic Puffins (Fratercula arctica) and Brunnich’s Guillemots (Uria lomvia). 4. We believe that the methodology we have developed and tested in this study can be used to guide ecosystem management practices by converting coupled-climate model predictions into predictions of future presence based on Habitat Suitability for the species, allowing us to consider the possible effects of climate change and yearly variation of SST on foraging seabird hotspots in the Barents Sea Atlantic Puffin, Barents Sea, Brunnich’s Guillemot, Common Guillemot, ecological modelling, MaxENT, Razorbill, spatial ecologypublishedVersio

"Planlegge, gjennomføre, hente inn og evaluere" : viktige ledergrep for å lykkes med vurdering for læring

Master i tilpassa opplæring - Nord universitet, 201

Differences in Trophic Level, Contaminant Load, and DNA Damage in an Urban and a Remote Herring Gull (Larus argentatus) Breeding Colony in Coastal Norway

Herring gulls (Larus argentatus) are opportunistic feeders, resulting in contaminant exposure depending on area and habitat. We compared contaminant concentrations and dietary markers between two herring gull breeding colonies with different distances to extensive human activity and presumed contaminant exposure from the local marine diet. Furthermore, we investigated the integrity of DNA in white blood cells and sensitivity to oxidative stress. We analyzed blood from 15 herring gulls from each colony—the urban Oslofjord near the Norwegian capital Oslo in the temperate region and the remote Hornøya island in northern Norway, on the Barents Sea coast. Based on d13C and d34S, the dietary sources of urban gulls differed, with some individuals having a marine and others a more terrestrial dietary signal. All remote gulls had a marine dietary signal and higher relative trophic level than the urban marine feeding gulls. Concentrations (mean ± standard deviation [SD]) of most persistent organic pollutants, such as polychlorinated biphenyl ethers (PCBs) and perfluorooctane sulfonic acid (PFOS), were higher in urban marine (PCB153 17 ± 17 ng/g wet weight, PFOS 25 ± 21 ng/g wet wt) than urban terrestrial feeders (PCB153 3.7 ± 2.4 ng/g wet wt, PFOS 6.7 ± 10 ng/g wet wt). Despite feeding at a higher trophic level (d15N), the remote gulls (PCB153 17 ± 1221 ng/g wet wt, PFOS 19 ± 1421 ng/g wet wt) were similar to the urban marine feeders. Cyclic volatile methyl siloxanes were detected in only a few gulls, except for decamethylcyclopentasiloxane in the urban colony, which was found in 12 of 13 gulls. Only hexachlorobenzene was present in higher concentrations in the remote (2.6 ± 0.42 ng/g wet wt) compared with the urban colony (0.34 ± 0.33 ng/g wet wt). Baseline and induced DNA damage (doublestreak breaks) was higher in urban than in remote gulls for both terrestrial and marine feeders.publishedVersio

The relationship between daily behavior, hormones, and a color dimorphism in a seabird under natural continuous light

Author's accepted version (postprint).This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Elsevier in Hormones and Behavior on 08/02/2021.Available online: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0018506X2100009X?via%3DihubThe predictable oscillation between the light of day and the dark of night across the diel cycle is a powerful selective force that has resulted in anticipatory mechanisms in nearly all taxa. At polar latitude, however, this oscillation becomes highly attenuated during the continuous light of polar day during summer. A general understanding of how animals keep time under these conditions is poorly understood. We tested the hypothesis that the common murre (a seabird, Uria aalge) can use melatonin and corticosterone, hormones associated with timekeeping, to track the diel cycle despite continuous light. We also tested the assumption that common murres breeding during polar summer schedule their colony attendance by time of day and sex, as they do at subpolar latitude. In the Atlantic population, common murres have a plumage color dimorphism associated with fitnessrelated traits, and we investigated the relationship of this dimorphism with colony attendance, melatonin, and corticosterone. The common murres did not schedule their attendance behavior by time of day or sex, yet they had higher concentrations of melatonin and, to a more limited extent, corticosterone during “night” than “day”. Melatonin also linked to behavioral state. The two color morphs tended to have different colony-attendance behavior and melatonin concentrations, lending support for balancing selection maintaining the plumage dimorphism. In common murres, melatonin can signal time of day despite continuous light, and the limited diel variation of corticosterone contributes to the mounting evidence that polar-adapted birds and mammals require little or no diel variation in circulating glucocorticoids during polar day. Arctic Circadian rhythm Color dimorphism Continuous light Corticosterone profile Daily rhythm Glucocorticoid profile Melatonin profile Midnight sun Uria aalgeacceptedVersio

When things go wrong : intra-season dynamics of breeding failure in a seabird

We thank all fieldworkers who helped monitor nests and deploy/retrieve GPS loggers, notably Muriel Dietrich, Elisa Lobato, Julien Gasparini, Vincent Staszewski and Thierry Chambert. We are grateful to Victor Garcia‐Mattarranz from the Ministerio de Medio Ambiente y Medio Rural y Marino (MARM, Spain) and Jacob Gonzalès‐Solís from University of Barcelona for their help on PTTs functioning and deployment. We thank Nina Dehnhard and two anonymous referees who provided useful comments and suggestions to improve this manuscript and Matthieu Authier for statistical advice. This study was funded by the French Polar Institute (IPEV, programme n°333 PARASITO‐ARCTIQUE), CNRS, ANR, OSU OREME, NINA, University of Tromsø, SEAPOP (www.seapop.no) and CEDREN. All work was carried out in accordance with standard animal care protocols and approved by the Ethical Committee of the French Polar Institute and the Norwegian Animal Research Authority. The PhD thesis of A. P. is partly funded via a Région Languedoc‐Roussillon program ‘Chercheur d'Avenir' support to T. B. and University of Montpellier 2.Peer reviewedPublisher PD

Path analysis reveals combined winter climate and pollution effects on the survival of a marine top predator

Marine ecosystems are experiencing growing pressure from multiple threats caused by human activities, with far-reaching consequences for marine food webs. Determining the effects of multiple stressors is complex, in part, as they can affect different aspects of biological organisation (behaviour, individual traits and demographic rates). Determining the combined effects of stressors, through different biological pathways, is key to predict the consequences for the viability of populations threatened by global change. Due to their position in the food chain, top predators such as seabirds are considered more sensitive to environmental changes. Climate change is affecting the prey resources available for seabirds, through bottom-up effects, while organic pollutants can bioaccumulate in food chains with the greatest impacts on top predators. However, knowledge of their combined effects on population dynamics is scarce. Using a path analysis, we quantify the effects of climate change and pollution on the survival of adult great black-backed gulls, both directly and through effects of individuals' body mass. Warmer ocean temperatures in gulls' winter foraging areas in the North Sea were correlated with higher survival, potentially explained by shifts in prey availability associated with global climate change. We also found support for indirect negative effects of organochlorines, highly toxic pollutants to seabirds, on survival, which acted, in part, through a negative effect on body mass. The results from this path analysis highlight how, even for such long-lived species where variance in survival tends to be limited, two stressors still have had a marked influence on adult survival and illustrate the potential of path models to improve predictions of population variability under multiple stressors

Diverging phenological responses of Arctic seabirds to an earlier spring

The timing of annual events such as reproduction is a critical component of how free‐living organisms respond to ongoing climate change. This may be especially true in the Arctic, which is disproportionally impacted by climate warming. Here, we show that Arctic seabirds responded to climate change by moving the start of their reproduction earlier, coincident with an advancing onset of spring and that their response is phylogenetically and spatially structured. The phylogenetic signal is likely driven by seabird foraging behavior. Surface‐feeding species advanced their reproduction in the last 35 years while diving species showed remarkably stable breeding timing. The earlier reproduction for Arctic surface‐feeding birds was significant in the Pacific only, where spring advancement was most pronounced. In both the Atlantic and Pacific, seabirds with a long breeding season showed a greater response to the advancement of spring than seabirds with a short breeding season. Our results emphasize that spatial variation, phylogeny, and life history are important considerations in seabird phenological response to climate change and highlight the key role played by the species' foraging behavior