Model Makroekonomi Tahun 2000 - Tahun 2010

ABSRACT This study aims to analyze and find out (1) the influence of consumption, investment, government spending, exports and imports to GDP in Indonesia, (2) the influence of disposable income and deposit rates on consumption in Indonesia, (3) the influence of interest rates on investment, GDP , and the rate of investment in Indonesia, (4) the influence of exchange rate and U.S. GDP to exports in Indonesia, and (5) the influence of exchange rate and GDP to imports in Indonesia. This study uses a macroeconomic model developed by Keynes with a simultaneous equation model analysis with Two Stages Least Squared method (TSLS) from the first quarter of 2000 - the first quarter of 2010. The study concluded that (1) consumption, investment, government spending, exports and imports significantly affect the GDP in Indonesia. (2) have a significant disposable income on consumption in Indonesia. (3) the investment rate, GDP, and significantly influence the rate of investment in Indonesia. (4) exchange rate and the GDP of the United States have a significant effect on exports in Indonesia, and (5) exchange rate and GDP have a significant effect on imports in Indonesia

Pengaruh Inflasi, Kebijakan Fiskal dan Moneter terhadap Pengangguran di Indonesia

This study aims to analyze(1)The effect ofgoverment expenditure on inflaton,(2)The effect of tax on inflaton (3)The effect ofthe money supply on inflaton (4)The effect ofinterest rates on inflaton and (5) The effect ofinflation,government expenditure, tax, the money supply, interest rates on the labor force in the Indonesia state. Data used time series of 1980 - 2013. This article use analyzer model path analysis. The result of research concludesthat (1)the incomehave a significantand positive impact onthe investment,interest rateshave significantand negatively impact onthe investment,government expenditure significantlyandpositiveon the investment, while inflationis notsignificant and negativeeffecton the investmentinNorth Sumatera.If incomeincreases, the investmentwill also increase. If interest rates increases, the investment will decreases, and If government expenditure increases, the investment will increases. (2)the investmenthave a significantand positive impact onthe income, government expenditure is not significant and positive on the income,the money supplyhave significantand positive impact onthe income, and tax have significantand negatively impact onthe income in North Sumatera. If investmentincreases, the incomewill also increase,if the money supply increase, the income will increase, and then if the tax increase, the income will decreases

Analisis Faktor-faktor yang Mempengaruhi Perekonomian, Konsumsi dan Investasi di Sumatera Barat

This study aims to analyze and determine (1) the influence of consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports to the economy in West Sumatra, (2) the influence of the economy, disposable income of the previous period, the consumption of the previous period and the rate of consumption to consumption in West Sumatra (3) the influence of the economy, the investment rate, and the rate of investments in West Sumatra. Type of data is the documentary data, the data source is a secondary data as well as data in the form of time series from the first quarter of 2000 - the fourth quarter of 2012. This study uses a simultaneous equation model analysis tool with Two Stages Least Squared method (TSLS). Endogenous variables in the study was the economy, consumption and investment. While the disposable income variable is exogeneous previous period, the consumption of the previous period, real interest rates, exchange rates, government spending, and net exports. The research concludes that (1) Variable consumption, investment, government spending and net exports have a significant effect on the economy in West Sumatra. (2) Variable economy, disposable income of the previous period, and previous period consumption in West Sumatra affect consumption significantly. While the real interest rate variable does not significantly influence consumption in West Sumatra. (3) The economy, investment and interest rates have a significant effect on investment in West Sumatra. Whereas no significant effect on the rate of investment in West Sumatra. Based on these results the policies that can be suggested is the Local Government (LG) West Sumatra needs to provide incentives to productive sectors, addition, West Sumatra government needs to provide incentives to investors. Diversty export products needs to be improved as well as the local and export destinations of West Sumatra so that the increase in exports can be realized with either

Analisis Ketimpangan Pembangunan Antar Kabupaten/kota di Sumatera Barat dan Kebijakan Penanggulannya

This study aims to analyze and determine the effect of: (1) economic growth for development inequality between districts / cities in West Sumatra, (2) investment towards development gaps between districts / cities in West Sumatra, (3) labor for development inequality between counties / town in West Sumatra and (4) fund balance to inequality of development between districts / cities in West Sumatra. This type of research is descriptive and associative. While this type of data is data documentary, source of data is secondary data as well as data-shaped panel (combined data time series and cross-section). This research use analysis tool with Ordinary Least Squared (OLS). The study concluded that (1) Economic growth significant and positive impact on the inequality of development of West Sumatra province. (2) Investment inequality affects development of West Sumatra province significantly and positively. (3) Workers not significant impact on the inequality of development of West Sumatra province. (4) The fund balance inequality influence the development of West Sumatra province significantly and positively. Based on these results the policies that can be suggested is to increase government spending on productive expenditure such as construction of a strategic business region in order to increase the amount of capital investment as development

Faktor – Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Permintaan Wisatawan Domestik Terhadap Objek Wisata Bahari Pulau Cingkuak Kabupaten Pesisir Selatan

This study aimed to analyze factors - factors that affect the demand fordomestic travelers to the island marine attraction Cingkuak. The data used areprimary data with a sample size of 133 people. The study used multiple linearregression method using the OLS approach (Ordinary Least Square). ), Which isassumed to be constant tourist attraction means based on observations did notchange from observation to observation. The study concluded that 1) the joint -the same travel expenses, income travelers, travel motivation, ease of visiting nosignificant effect on the demand for domestic travelers to the island marineattraction Cingkuak. While the number of family members, security and comfortof a significant effect on demand for domestic travelers to the island marineattraction Cingkuak. 2) the partial cost of the trip, travelers income, number offamily members, travel motivation significant effect on the demand for domestictravelers to the island Cingkuak marine attractions, while visiting the ease, safetyand comfort no significant effect on the demand for domestic travelers to theisland marine attraction Cingkua