Mapping Foresight Competence in Europe. The EUROFORE Pilot Project.

Abstract not availableJRC.J-Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (Seville

Textiles and Clothing Manufacturing: Vision for 2025 and Actions Needed

This project is set in the context of the European industrial policy objective declared in 2010 to bring the share of industry in EU GDP from 15 to 20 per cent by 2020. It applies the Industrial Landscape Vision 2025 (ILV2025), a forward looking tool developed in a previous JRC foresight study and endorsed by DG GROW and its Task Force on advanced manufacturing. This tool provides a generic model of industry in Europe 10 years from now. The main objective of the project is to understand the long-term needs and challenges faced by European industry, to develop a vision for identifying key opportunities and challenges, and to develop potential responses by industry actors and policy makers.JRC.I.2-Foresight, Behavioural Insights and Design for Polic

For-Know Repository: How can global trends be used in foresight? Expert workshop

The EU Policy Lab at the Joint Research Centre (JRC) of the European Commission (EC) organised a one-day workshop to pilot a foresight policy-engagement tool based on a set of global megatrends. The workshop was also used to gather the experience and good practice of foresight practitioners in engaging policy-makers and other stakeholders in long-term and systems-thinking processes. The workshop was held on 18 November 2016, at the EC premises, Rue Science 29, Brussels, Belgium, This report documents and illustrates the activities that took place during the workshop, taking stock of the results to support further development of the FOR-KNOW project, which aims to establish a repository of megatrends and a tool for using such trends in policy-making mainly at European level. As such, it does not describe all the insights captured during the workshop, Content gathered during the workshop will be further developed and ultimately feed the online format of the FOR-KNOW repository and other dissemination products of the project. The first section provides information about the JRC, the project itself and its policy context. The second and third sections present the workshop purpose, participants and an illustrated guide to the workshop process including the participants' feedback before we conclude in section four.JRC.I.2-Foresight, Behavioural Insights and Design for Polic

NPK: Will there be enough plant nutrients to feed a world of 9 billion in 2050?

Will there be enough plant nutrients to feed a world of 9 billion in 2050? is the central question addressed by a JRC study. This exercise was based on consultations with experts and a thematic workshop focused on three areas of interest: 1) the demand for fertilizers to sustain crop production necessary to feed the world in 2050; 2) perspectives on the supply of Nitrogen (N), Phosphorus (P) and Potassium (K) to world agriculture and 3) the role of innovation and technology in changing the match between demand and supply of fertilizers. Implications of the main findings for current EU and international policies were addressed. Overall, analysis of existing literature and discussions with major experts and stakeholders led to the conclusion that while the situation is currently not critical with respect to the production and availability of plant nutrients, it is important to remain vigilant. The question of reserves (P and K), access, changing geopolitical conditions, economic development, energy costs (mainly for N) and environmental constraints (N and P) could lead to shortfalls and possibly crisis situations in some regions of the world. The situation of Africa deserves particular attention as production, access and use of fertilizers represent key limiting factors in boosting food production in that continent.JRC.A.1-Science Advice to Polic

How will standards facilitate new production systems in the context of EU innovation and competitiveness in 2025?

Standards are very important as they provide requirements, specifications, guidelines or characteristics that can be used consistently to ensure that materials, products, processes and services are fit for their purpose. They contribute to remove technical barriers to trade, leading to new markets and economic growth for industry. They also facilitate technology transfer and they contribute to ensure safety of products thereby affecting the daily life of citizens. This report ‘How will standards facilitate new production systems in the context of EU innovation and competitiveness in 2025?’ is the outcome of a foresight process looking at how standards and standardisation can become even more relevant policy tool supporting different European policies. The study has especially looked at the areas where Europe drives innovation, where the development of new products and processes could lead to new trade of goods, services and technologies. The foresight process has dealt with standardisation by using a holistic approach. It explored at how effective standards can be developed within a European industrial landscape vision able to contribute to jobs and growth in a sustainable manner. The report provides a clear overview of the evolution of the European production system and illustrates what are the drivers of change influencing the future production system. The Industrial Landscape Vision was used to identify the its implications on the European Standardisation System and it highlights priorities for the development of standards in the future.JRC.DDG.02-Foresight and Behavioural Insight

How will standards facilitate new production systems in the context of EU innovation and competitiveness in 2025? ANNEXES

Standards are very important as they provide requirements, specifications, guidelines or characteristics that can be used consistently to ensure that materials, products, processes and services are fit for their purpose. They contribute to remove technical barriers to trade, leading to new markets and economic growth for industry. They also facilitate technology transfer and they contribute to ensure safety of products thereby affecting the daily life of citizens. This report ‘How will standards facilitate new production systems in the context of EU innovation and competitiveness in 2025?’ is the outcome of a foresight process looking at how standards and standardisation can become even more relevant policy tool supporting different European policies. The study has especially looked at the areas where Europe drives innovation, where the development of new products and processes could lead to new trade of goods, services and technologies. The foresight process has dealt with standardisation by using a holistic approach. It explored at how effective standards can be developed within a European industrial landscape vision able to contribute to jobs and growth in a sustainable manner. The report provides a clear overview of the evolution of the European production system and illustrates what are the drivers of change influencing the future production system. The Industrial Landscape Vision was used to identify the its implications on the European Standardisation System and it highlights priorities for the development of standards in the future.JRC.DDG.02-Foresight and Behavioural Insight

Technical Report on a Foresight Training Course

This report provides an overview of a methodological approach designed in two Modules tailored to increase the learning effect and awareness rising of Foresight in New Members States and Candidate Countries (NMS and CC). A better understanding on how to best transmit Foresight knowledge and which methodological approaches can effectively contribute to this end is regarded to be a major milestone in enabling Foresight to be widespread used as a policy informing and facilitating instrument. Such methodological approach should therefore be further tested, improved and adapted both to the specific contexts and current challenges of individual countries in order to facilitate Foresight in NMS and CC.JRC.J.3 - Knowledge for Growt

The Future of Customs in the EU 2040

The Future of Customs in the EU 2040 report is an outcome of a year-long foresight process. Its aim is to support strategic reflection on the future of the European Union’s Customs Union, its relevance and its effectiveness in the long-term. The European Commission’s Joint Research Centre (JRC) undertook the project in collaboration with the Directorate-General for Taxation and Customs Union (DG TAXUD). Being participatory and multidisciplinary is an inherent part of any foresight process, and thus it involved all relevant stakeholder groups: including representatives of Member States, key trading partners, trade associations, businesses, consumer organisations, international organisations, academia, and different services and Directorates-General of the European Commission. Foresight serves policymakers in identifying, understanding and directing change, and thus supports the creation of policies that are more robust and fit for the long-term future. To that end, four scenarios of how customs in the European Union could look in 2040, have been created. Further, the exploration of the scenarios and insights from the process fed into a vision-building process, which resulted in a co-created vision for EU Customs in 2040. The foresight process also included a first reflection on how the vision can be reached. Part I of the report presents the summarised outcomes of the foresight methods used, and Part II provides detailed outputs and methodology. The step-by-step process descriptions in Part II can be useful for future foresight initiatives in customs or related policy areas.JRC.I.2 - Foresight, Modelling, Behavioural Insights & Design for Polic

Visions for the World in 2035

The workshop “Visions for the World in 2035” was organised in the EU Policy Lab by the Foresight and Behavioural Insights Unit in collaboration with the European Development Days (EDD15). It hosted 15 Future Leaders between the ages of 21 and 26 who were selected by the EDD15 organisers from around the world to join the debate on development policy and international cooperation. The purpose of the workshop was 1) to introduce the Future Leaders to systemic and long-term strategic thinking, 2) to help them formulate a vision broadly related to their area of activity and thus boost their contribution to the upcoming EDD15 debates, and 3) to foster their positioning as agents of positive change in the coming decades. Through group vision building, plenary discussions and individual pitches, participants shared their experiences, explored megatrends that are likely to shape different possible futures and challenged present assumptions related to social change, youth and development. The aim of the report is to present our insights from the preparation and running of the workshop in order to revise different methods and techniques used and adapted in the context of the EU Policy Lab. This type of an event could be further adapted and replicated in other research and policy contexts.JRC.DDG.02 - Foresight and Behavioural Insight

Demography and climate change

Demography is intimately related to both climate change adaptation and mitigation. The report focuses on demography and climate mitigation through analyses of trajectories for emissions and population at global and EU levels. At the global level, the report highlights the role of population momentum. While population growth implies almost by definition higher emissions, at least in the short term, the intrinsic inertia in demographic processes implies that solutions to reduce emissions need to come from reducing inequalities, the greening of the economy and a change in consumption rather than from interventions on fertility. At the EU level, the report finds that although in absolute terms older people emit less, they have higher per capita emissions, a greater share of their emissions is concentrated in carbon-intensive consumption items and they are less likely to change their attitudes or behaviour towards more environmentally friendly patterns. Considering the trends for the ageing of the EU population, these intergenerational differences in consumption and attitudes add a new policy challenge to the already pressing need to reduce the differences in responsibilities for emissions linked to income.JRC.E.5 - Demography and Migratio