Scaling of species distribution models across spatial resolutions and extents along a biogeographic gradient. The case of the Iberian mole Talpa occidentalis

P. 279-292Scaling is a key process in modelling approaches since it allows for translating information from one scale to another. However, the success of this procedure may depend on ‘source’ and ‘target’ scales, but also on the biogeographic/ecological context of the study area. We aimed to quantify the performance and success of scaling species distribution model (SDM) predictions across spatial resolution and extent along a biogeographic gradient using the Iberian mole as study case. We ran separate MaxEnt models at two extents (national and regional) using independent datasets (species locations and environmental predictors) collected at 10 km and 50 m resolutions respectively. Model performance and success of scaling SDMs were quantified on the basis of accuracy measures and spatial predictions. Complementarily, we calculated marginality and tolerance as indicators of habitat availability and niche truncation along the biogeographic gradient. Model performance increased with resolution and extent, as well as from north to south (mainly for high resolution models). When regional models were validated at different scales, their performance reduced severely, particularly in the case of coarse resolution models (some of them performed worse than random). However, when the 10 km‐national model was downscaled within regions, it performed better (AUCtest: 0.82, 0.85 and 0.55 respectively for Galicia, Madrid and Granada) than models specifically calibrated within each region at 10 km (0.47, 0.65, 0.44). Indeed, it also had a better accuracy when projected at 50 m (0.77, 0.91, 0.79) than models fitted at that resolution (0.62, 0.83, 0.96) in two of the three cases. The success of scaling model predictions decreased along the biogeographic gradient, being these differences associated to niche truncation. Models representing non‐truncated niches were more successfully scaled across resolutions and extents (particularly in areas not offering all possible habitats for species), which has important implications for SDM applications.S

Possible impact of environmental policies in the recovery of a Ramsar wetland from trace metal contamination

10 pages, 6 figures, 4 tablesThe Umia-Grove Intertidal Complex is located within the Ria of Arousa (NW Iberian Peninsula). Out of its significance for wintering shorebirds it has been included in the Ramsar List of Wetlands of International Importance as well as in international protection networks such as the European Natura 2000 and Important Bird and Biodiversity Areas-BirdLife International. In a sediment analysis conducted in the year 1999, the wetland was found to have been contaminated by potentially toxic trace metals, to wit: Cr, Cu, Ni, and Pb. Sediment samples retrieved in 2014 to make an updated assessment of the condition of the ecosystem showed evidence of the presence of selected trace elements, namely, Cd, Co, Cr, Cu, Ni, Pb, and Zn, within or slightly above the background ranges of local, regional, and general references. In the 15-year time frame between the two samplings there has been noticeable change in the relationship between nature and society as a consequence of the entry into force of a number of regulations aimed at avoiding the emission of contaminants; among others, the ban of Pb in gasoline, the deployment of wastewater treatment plants according to the European Water Framework Directive, and the limitation of the use of Cu pesticides. With the ensuing drop of human pressure, the self-purifying capacity of the ecosystem has effectively contributed to the wetland's recovery. Nevertheless, the application of a normalized enrichment factor to the more recent set of samples suggests the presence of relict low contamination by Cd, Cu, and Ni in localized areas. The compared analysis of the wetland condition in the two years is a sign of the success of the policies and regulations for environmental protection, but further work and more effectiveness are necessary in order to preserve threatened ecosystems of such importance as the Umia-Grove wetland.M.A. Álvarez-Vázquez expresses his gratitude for the support received from Plan I2C (2011–2015) of the Xunta de Galicia in collaboration with the International Campus do Mar (ED481A-2015/410). This study was partially supported by the Xunta de Galicia through the fund IN607A-2016/11 granted to competitive reference research groups. The isotopic ratio mass spectrometer was partly financed by the European Regional Development Fund (EU).Peer reviewe