200 research outputs found

    Research on the causes of earthwork foundation pit collapse based on Fault tree and Bayesian network

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    With the rapid development of the construction industry, construction safety accidents frequently occur. Among these accidents, earthwork foundation pit collapse, as a subset of construction accidents, often causes significant casualties and economic losses due to the self-weight of collapsed materials and the extensive area affected. The purpose of this study is to identify the causes of construction safety and collapse accidents and their relationships in order to facilitate effective supervision and prevention during the construction process. Firstly, text mining is conducted on historical construction safety accident reports using R language tools and the TF-IDF algorithm to obtain keywords related to accident causative factors. Then the risk factors are analyzed to establish the basic event, intermediate event, and top event of the accident, to construct a fault tree of casualties caused by earthwork foundation pit collapse accidents and analyze the structural importance of risk factors. Finally, the fault tree is transformed to a Bayesian network using image mapping and numerical mapping to enable the analysis of node sensitivity and the prediction of top event probability to provide scientific reference for safety accident prediction and prevention

    Risk assessment of complex engineering project based on fuzzy Petri net under the perspective of vulnerability

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    Traditional engineering risk management has been unable to adapt to the complexity and variability due to its constituent elements and dynamic nature of internal and external environments. Vulnerability, as a concept closely related to risk, has been neglected in the traditional risk management due to its hidden characteristics. This study attempts to quantify and evaluate vulnerabilities of complex engineering projects independently and explore the transmission mechanism between risk and vulnerability factors. Twenty different types of large-scale engineering projects in China were selected as case studies from the Mega Project Case Study Center (MPCSC) of Tongji University. Vulnerability and risk factors of each project were identified and analysed. A mechanism model was developed to explore the impacts of vulnerabilities and risks through ta Fuzzy Petri Net. Four main vulnerability-risk critical paths were identified through the reverse labelling method. The overall evaluation of engineering project risks considering the impacts of vulnerabilities is the highlight of this paper. This study interprets the cognition and evaluation of complex engineering risks from a new perspective, enriches the connotation of engineering risk management, and provides a reference for risk management and decisionmaking of complex engineering projects

    The prognostic value of circulating lymphocyte counts and ABO blood group in lung cancer stereotactic body radiation therapy: a retrospective study

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    Background: Clinically, there is a lack of simple and feasible indicators to predict the efficacy of stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT). Circulating lymphocyte counts (CLCs) is considered to be related to curative effect in conventional radiotherapy of lung cancer, and blood groups are also associated with the survival. In this study, we investigate the prognostic value of CLCs and ABO blood groups in lung cancer patients treated with SBRT. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 191 patients who were treated with lung cancer SBRT in Taizhou Hospital of Zhejiang Province from September 2014 to December 2018. The medical record system of Taizhou Hospital was used to collect relevant clinical data, such as stage, CLC, ABO blood groups and other important clinical co-variates. The effects of SBRT were evaluated by patient reexamination image data and telephone follow-up. The RECIST 1.1 standard was used to evaluate the short-term efficacy in the first, third, and sixth months after SBRT. Progression-free survival (PFS) was defined as the time from the day of SBRT to disease progression or death from any cause. Overall survival (OS) was measured from the day of SBRT until the last follow-up or death. Survival curves and univariate, multivariate logistic-regression analyses were used to expound the prognostic factors for local control (LC), PFS, and OS of lung cancer SBRT patients. Results: Univariate and multivariate analysis results showed that post-SBRT CLCs were independent factors for the short-term efficacy 3 and 6 months after lung cancer SBRT [hazard ratio (HR) =0.249, P=0.037; HR =0.347, P=0.012]. Survival analyses showed that the PFS and OS of lung cancer SBRT patients with A blood type was significantly shorter than that in the other three non-A blood groups (PFS: 6.5 vs. 10 months, HR =1.535, P=0.020; OS: 24 vs. 41 months, HR =1.578, P=0.048). Moreover, the patients with high post-SBRT CLCs in the non-A blood group had the longest PFS and OS after lung cancer SBRT (HR =0.551, P=0.043). Conclusions: Lung cancer SBRT patients with high-post-SBRT CLCs and non-A blood groups seem to exhibits best curative effect, which represent a potential opportunity to improve the clinical management of these patients. The mechanisms of this association deserve further verification and investigation

    Environmentally vulnerable or sensitive groups exhibiting varying concerns towards air pollution can drive government response to improve air quality

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    Air pollution seriously threatens human health, and its consequences are particularly prevalent among environmentally vulnerable or sensitive groups. However, whether the concerns among these groups are different and how they affect air pollution governance remain unclear. Here, we extract 3.8 million haze-related posts from China’s Sina Weibo and analyse the concerns raised by these groups by constructing an air pollution notability index. The results show that protection is the key theme for women aged 20-35 years, while elderly individuals are easily influenced by haze-related product ads yet lack awareness of scientific-based protection. Concerns shared by young individuals are more effective in pressuring the government in cities that experience higher levels of pollution. Concerns shared by women are more effective in cities that experience lower levels of pollution. This study evidences the influence of the public concerns conveyed via social media on air pollution governance in China
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