Three-dimensional flow instability in a lid-driven isosceles triangular cavity

Linear three-dimensional modal instability of steady laminar two-dimensional states developing in a lid-driven cavity of isosceles triangular cross-section is investigated theoretically and experimentally for the case in which the equal sides form a rectangular corner. An asymmetric steady two-dimensional motion is driven by the steady motion of one of the equal sides. If the side moves away from the rectangular corner, a stationary three-dimensional instability is found. If the motion is directed towards the corner, the instability is oscillatory. The respective critical Reynolds numbers are identified both theoretically and experimentally. The neutral curves pertinent to the two configurations and the properties of the respective leading eigenmodes are documented and analogies to instabilities in rectangular lid-driven cavities are discussed

Predicting Progression in Parkinson's Disease Using Baseline and 1-Year Change Measures.

BackgroundImproved prediction of Parkinson's disease (PD) progression is needed to support clinical decision-making and to accelerate research trials.ObjectivesTo examine whether baseline measures and their 1-year change predict longer-term progression in early PD.MethodsParkinson's Progression Markers Initiative study data were used. Participants had disease duration ≤2 years, abnormal dopamine transporter (DAT) imaging, and were untreated with PD medications. Baseline and 1-year change in clinical, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), and imaging measures were evaluated as candidate predictors of longer-term (up to 5 years) change in Movement Disorders Society-Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale (MDS-UPDRS) score and DAT specific binding ratios (SBR) using linear mixed-effects models.ResultsAmong 413 PD participants, median follow-up was 5 years. Change in MDS-UPDRS from year-2 to last follow-up was associated with disease duration (β= 0.351; 95% CI = 0.146, 0.555), male gender (β= 3.090; 95% CI = 0.310, 5.869), and baseline (β= -0.199; 95% CI = -0.315, -0.082) and 1-year change (β= 0.540; 95% CI = 0.423, 0.658) in MDS-UPDRS; predictors in the model accounted for 17.6% of the variance in outcome. Predictors of percent change in mean SBR from year-2 to last follow-up included baseline rapid eye movement sleep behavior disorder score (β= -0.6229; 95% CI = -1.2910, 0.0452), baseline (β= 7.232; 95% CI = 2.268, 12.195) and 1-year change (β= 45.918; 95% CI = 35.994,55.843) in mean striatum SBR, and 1-year change in autonomic symptom score (β= -0.325;95% CI = -0.695, 0.045); predictors in the model accounted for 44.1% of the variance.ConclusionsBaseline clinical, CSF, and imaging measures in early PD predicted change in MDS-UPDRS and dopamine-transporter binding, but the predictive value of the models was low. Adding the short-term change of possible predictors improved the predictive value, especially for modeling change in dopamine-transporter binding

The Parkinson's progression markers initiative (PPMI) - establishing a PD biomarker cohort.

ObjectiveThe Parkinson's Progression Markers Initiative (PPMI) is an observational, international study designed to establish biomarker-defined cohorts and identify clinical, imaging, genetic, and biospecimen Parkinson's disease (PD) progression markers to accelerate disease-modifying therapeutic trials.MethodsA total of 423 untreated PD, 196 Healthy Control (HC) and 64 SWEDD (scans without evidence of dopaminergic deficit) subjects were enrolled at 24 sites. To enroll PD subjects as early as possible following diagnosis, subjects were eligible with only asymmetric bradykinesia or tremor plus a dopamine transporter (DAT) binding deficit on SPECT imaging. Acquisition of data was standardized as detailed at www.ppmi-info.org.ResultsApproximately 9% of enrolled subjects had a single PD sign at baseline. DAT imaging excluded 16% of potential PD subjects with SWEDD. The total MDS-UPDRS for PD was 32.4 compared to 4.6 for HC and 28.2 for SWEDD. On average, PD subjects demonstrated 45% and 68% reduction in mean striatal and contralateral putamen Specific Binding Ratios (SBR), respectively. Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) was acquired from >97% of all subjects. CSF (PD/HC/SWEDD pg/mL) α-synuclein (1845/2204/2141) was reduced in PD vs HC or SWEDD (P < 0.03). Similarly, t-tau (45/53) and p-tau (16/18) were reduced in PD versus HC (P < 0.01).InterpretationPPMI has detailed the biomarker signature for an early PD cohort defined by clinical features and imaging biomarkers. This strategy provides the framework to establish biomarker cohorts and to define longitudinal progression biomarkers to support future PD treatment trials

Limbic grey matter changes in early Parkinson's disease

The purpose of this study was to investigate local and network related changes of limbic grey matter in early Parkinson’s disease (PD) and their interrelation with non-motor symptom severity. We applied voxel-based morphometric methods in 538 T1 MRI images retrieved from the Parkinson's Progression Markers Initiative website. Grey matter densities and cross-sectional estimates of age-related grey matter change were compared between subjects with early PD (n=366) and age-matched healthy controls (n=172) within a regression model, and associations of grey matter density with symptoms were investigated. Structural brain networks were obtained using covariance analysis seeded in regions showing grey matter abnormalities in PD subject group. Patients displayed focally reduced grey matter density in the right amygdala, which was present from the earliest stages of the disease without further advance in mild-moderate disease stages. Right amygdala grey matter density showed negative correlation with autonomic dysfunction and positive with cognitive performance in patients, but no significant interrelations were found with anxiety scores. Patients with PD also demonstrated right amygdala structural disconnection with less structural connectivity of the right amygdala with the cerebellum and thalamus but increased covariance with bilateral temporal cortices compared with controls. Age-related grey matter change was also increased in PD preferentially in the limbic system. In conclusion, detailed brain morphometry in a large group of early PD highlights predominant limbic grey matter deficits with stronger age-associations compared with controls and associated altered structural connectivity pattern. This provides in vivo evidence for early limbic grey matter pathology and structural network changes that may reflect extranigral disease spread in PD

Progress towards therapies for disease modification in Parkinson's disease

The development of interventions to slow or halt the progression of Parkinson's disease remains a priority for patients and researchers alike. To date, no agents have been shown to have unequivocal evidence of disease-modifying effects in Parkinson's disease. The absence of disease-modifying treatments might relate not only to inadequate approaches for the selection of therapeutic candidates but also to insufficient attention to detail in clinical trial design. Better understanding of Parkinson's disease pathogenesis associated with advances in laboratory models, the use of objective biomarkers of disease progression and target engagement, and a focus on agents known to be safe for human use, alongside the use of precision medicine approaches, should together greatly increase the likelihood for successful identification of disease-modifying treatments for Parkinson's disease

Digital mobility sub-study in the Parkinson's Progressive Marker Initiative (PPMI) study

This poster details the gait sub-study project in PPMI. The sub-study aims to test the feasibility and validity of digital mobility data for enrichment of the prodromal screening and to assess the sensitivity of these measures to early phase progression in prodromal and recently diagnosed patients with Parkinson’s disease. The poster details the protocol and the initial preliminary results of the first 21 participants. The post5er was presented in the Movement Disorders Society Conference held in Copenhagen, Denmark in Sept 2023

Pioglitazone in early Parkinson\u27s disease: a phase 2, multicentre, double-blind, randomised trial

Background A systematic assessment of potential disease-modifying compounds for Parkinson\u27s disease concluded that pioglitazone could hold promise for the treatment of patients with this disease. We assessed the effect of pioglitazone on the progression of Parkinson\u27s disease in a multicentre, double-blind, placebo-controlled, futility clinical trial. Methods Participants with the diagnosis of early Parkinson\u27s disease on a stable regimen of 1 mg/day rasagiline or 10 mg/day selegiline were randomly assigned (1:1:1) to 15 mg/day pioglitazone, 45 mg/day pioglitazone, or placebo. Investigators were masked to the treatment assignment. Only the statistical centre and the central pharmacy knew the treatment name associated with the randomisation number. The primary outcome was the change in the total Unified Parkinson\u27s Disease Rating Scale (UPDRS) score between the baseline and 44 weeks, analysed by intention to treat. The primary null hypothesis for each dose group was that the mean change in UPDRS was 3 points less than the mean change in the placebo group. The alternative hypothesis (of futility) was that pioglitazone is not meaningfully different from placebo. We rejected the null if there was significant evidence of futility at the one-sided alpha level of 0.10. The study is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01280123. Findings 210 patients from 35 sites in the USA were enrolled between May 10, 2011, and July 31, 2013. The primary analysis included 72 patients in the 15 mg group, 67 in the 45 mg group, and 71 in the placebo group. The mean total UPDRS change at 44 weeks was 4.42 (95% CI 2.55-6.28) for 15 mg pioglitazone, 5.13 (95% CI 3.17-7.08) for 45 mg pioglitazone, and 6.25 (95% CI 4.35-8.15) for placebo (higher change scores are worse). The mean difference between the 15 mg and placebo groups was -1.83 (80% CI -3.56 to -0.10) and the null hypothesis could not be rejected (p=0.19). The mean difference between the 45 mg and placebo groups was -1.12 (80% CI -2.93 to 0.69)and the null hypothesis was rejected in favour of futility (p=0.09). Planned sensitivity analyses of the primary outcome, using last value carried forward (LVCF) to handle missing data and using the completers\u27 only sample, suggested that the 15 mg dose is also futile (p=0.09 for LVCF, p= 0.09 for completers) but failed to reject the null hypothesis for the 45 mg dose (p=0.12 for LVCF, p=0.19 for completers). Six serious adverse events occurred in the 15 mg group, nine in the 45 mg group, and three in the placebo group; none were thought to be definitely or probably related to the study interventions. Interpretation These findings suggest that pioglitazone at the doses studied here is unlikely to modify progression in early Parkinson\u27s disease. Further study of pioglitazone in a larger trial in patients with Parkinson\u27s disease is not recommended

Anticipating Tomorrow: Tailoring Parkinson's Symptomatic Therapy Using Predictors of Outcome

Background: Although research into Parkinson's disease (PD) subtypes and outcome predictions has continued to advance, recommendations for using outcome prediction to guide current treatment decisions remain sparse. Objectives: To provide expert opinion‐based recommendations for individually tailored PD symptomatic treatment based on knowledge of risk prediction and subtypes. Methods: Using a modified Delphi approach, members of the Movement Disorders Society (MDS) Task Force on PD subtypes generated a series of general recommendations around the question: “Using what you know about genetic/biological/clinical subtypes (or any individual‐level predictors of outcome), what advice would you give for selecting symptomatic treatments for an individual patient now, based on what their subtype or individual characteristics predict about their future disease course?” After four iterations and revisions, those recommendations with over 75% endorsement were adopted. Results: A total of 19 recommendations were endorsed by a group of 13 panelists. The recommendations primarily centered around two themes: (1) incorporating future risk of cognitive impairment into current treatment plans; and (2) identifying future symptom clusters that might be forestalled with a single medication. Conclusions: These recommendations provide clinicians with a framework for integrating future outcomes into patient‐specific treatment choices. They are not prescriptive guidelines, but adaptable suggestions, which should be tailored to each individual. They are to be considered as a first step of a process that will continue to evolve as additional stakeholders provide new insights and as new information becomes available. As individualized risk prediction advances, the path to better tailored treatment regimens will become clearer