Manual de utilização de ferramenta do Centro Comum de Investigação para validação das mudanças da cobertura vegetal e do uso da terra

O projeto TREES-3 do CCI tem como objetivo avaliar mudanças da cobertura vegetal na região tropical que ocorreram entre 1990 e 2000, e entre 2000-(2005)-2010. Para isto, foram processadas e avaliadas mudanças da cobertura vegetal em uma grande quantidade de imagens de satélite multi-temporais de resolução espacial média (unidades amostrais de 20 km x 20 km de imagens Landsat). Desta forma, o projeto TREES-3 busca avaliar para cada uma das unidades amostrais a cobertura florestal e as mudanças da cobertura vegetal ocorrida num quinquénio ou década com a mais alta precisão possível. A análise da mudança da cobertura vegetal e do uso da terra inclui também uma etapa de validação visual da classificação das imagens de satélite para atribuir as classes definitivas. Para esta etapa, o CCI desenvolveu uma ferramenta computacional chamada ‘‘Ferramenta do CCI para validação das mudanças da cobertura vegetal e do uso da terra’’. Esta ferramenta é utilizada por agentes florestais nacionais ou especialistas em sensoriamento remoto provenientes de países tropicais. Nesta ferramenta, a interpretação visual das imagens de satélite é efetuada de maneira simultânea utilizando imagens de dois períodos diferentes. Desta forma, é possível verificar e ajustar classes de uso da terra que foram previamente definidas. Neste trabalho, a FAO colabora com o CCI no âmbito do projeto de levantamento por sensoriamento remoto para avaliação dos recursos florestais mundiais (FRA). O CCI agregou na ferramenta computacional uma função que permite atribuir classes de uso da terra que fazem parte da classificação utilizada pela FAO. O presente documento, intitulado ‘‘Manual de utilização de ferramenta do Centro Comum de Investigação para validação das mudanças da cobertura vegetal e do uso da terra”, explica o procedimento para instalação da ferramenta e descreve as características da interface gráfica do usuário.JRC.H.3-Forest Resources and Climat

Provider issues related to patient controlled analgesia and nurse controlled analgesia errors in a pediatric hospital

Background: Medical errors are a danger to patient safety and a significant cause of morbidity and mortality. Additionally, they increase expenditures in an already significantly indebted U.S. health care system. Much confusion exists about definitions of medical errors, which include medication errors and adverse drug events (ADEs). Several federal and international organizations have attempted to standardize definitions in order to streamline data collection, but until these standards are universally adopted, error reports and trends are still subject to questions of validity. Reporting errors, in general, has become a more socially acceptable practice in health care with the advent of several anonymous reporting databases. There have also been several initiatives aimed at reducing the incidence of errors, which range from national programs to intrafacility guidelines. Several pieces of health information technology (HIT) have made an impact on error incidence and data collection, although there is much room for improvement. Patient controlled analgesia (PCA) pumps for pain management have been in existence for decades, and "smart pump" software has improved their safety and ease of programming. PCA use in children presents challenges to clinicians, and the characteristics of providers who write PCA orders and those who program PCA pumps may play a role in the incidence of events related to PCA. This study seeks to elucidate trends in errors as they related to these different PCA providers in a pediatric hospital in the northeastern U.S. and provide recommendations for how PCA practice can be improved in this facility. Methods: Safety Event Reporting System (SERS) reports of PCA events (n = 117) during the period of 2004 - 2012 were analyzed retrospectively to determine several key variables for data analysis. The main focus of this analysis was those variable trends related to providers, including: proportion of events caused by human error, proportion of events related to subcategories of human error, proportion of types of prescribers involved in PCA events, proportion of errors in medical and surgical patients, proportion of errors occurring on day and night shifts for the nursing staff, and proportion of events that were dosing mistakes. Statistical analysis was performed for these results when possible to determine significance. Results: Human errors were implicated in 84.1% of events, whereas PCA pump mechanical errors and software errors were implicated in 7.1% and 7.9% of events, respectively. Statistically significant differences were found in all variables tested, including the proportion of nursing errors (60.9%) versus prescriber errors (28.7%) (p < 0.0002). For types of prescribers, the proportion of PCA events occurring when a M.D. wrote the PCA order (56.41%) was statistically different than when a N.P. wrote the PCA order (39.32%) (p = 0.0129). More surgical patients (61.5%) were affected by PCA events than medical patients (36.8%) (p < 0.0002). There were more events occurring on the nursing staff day shift (59.8%) than the night shift (36.8%) (p = 0.0004). Finally, dosing mistakes (66.7%) were implicated in significantly more PCA events than any other error type (33.3%) (p < 0.0002). Conclusion: Several recommendations for improving the safety of PCA in pediatric pain management are justified by the results of this data analysis. First, further education and simulation for entering PCA orders into the CPOE system is needed for all prescribers. Secondly, further education and simulation in PCA pump programming and system set-up is needed for all nursing staff members. In regard to prescriber credentials, it is recommended that Pain Treatment Service (PTS) staff members train M.D. residents in writing PCA orders and entering them into the CPOE system. Finally, it is recommended that the SERS management team publish standardized error report content and entry format in order to streamline data analysis for quality improvement (QI) purposes

Mapeamento preditivo da vegetação: uso de SIG para modelar a distribuição espacial de espécies arbóreas na Amazônia Central

A distribuição espacial das populações vegetais é abordada na ecologia como uma importante questão devido a sua contribuição ao entendimento de padrões e processos em florestas tropicais. A configuração espacial das populações vegetais é afetada pela interação dos fatores bióticos e abióticos do ambiente. Desta forma, a compreensão dos fatores que estruturam as populações vegetais possibilita a elaboração de modelos de distribuição de espécies. Assim, este trabalho teve como objetivo principal elaborar e validar modelos de capazes de predizer a probabilidade de ocorrência de Aniba roseaodora, Cariniana micrantha, Caryocar villosum, Dinizia excelsa, Dipteryx odorata, Goupia glabra, Manilkara bidentata e Manilkara huberi, Parida multifuga, Parkia pendula, Peltogyne paniculata, Pseudopiptadenia psilostachya em função de variáveis topográficas. A probabilidade de ocorrência dessas 12 espécies arbóreas foi estimada a partir de regressão logística múltipla. Os parâmetros estimados foram incorporados a um SIG e com isso foi obtida a representação espacial das probabilidades de ocorrência estimadas para cada uma das espécies. Os modelos indicaram associação entre a ocorrência dos indivíduos em relação à topografia para 10 espécies. Os modelos estimaram de maneira acurada a ocorrência de 9 espécies. A densidade dos indivíduos variou entre as áreas do modelo e de validação. Para área onde o modelo foi validado houve sobreposição entre a distribuição observada e estimada para as 9 espécies citadas anteriormente. No entanto, houve grande variação entre o acréscimo de acerto de ocorrência para essas espécies. Desta forma, o trabalho aqui apresentado indica que modelos preditivos de distribuição de espécies arbóreas podem predizer com acurácia ocorrência de espécies em determinada área, mas que a extrapolação para outras áreas deve considerar outros fatores, além da topografia

Exploring the impact of data curation criteria on the observed geographical distribution of mosses

Biodiversity data records contain inaccuracies and biases. To overcome this limitation and establish robust geographic patterns, ecologists often curate records keeping those that are most suitable for their analyses. Yet, this choice is not straightforward and the outcome of the analysis may vary due to a trade-off between data quality and volume. This problem is particularly recurrent for less-studied groups with patchy sampling effort. The latitudinal pattern of mosses richness remains inconsistent across studies and these may emerge purely from sampling artefacts. Our main objective here is to assess the effect of different curation criteria on this spatial pattern in the Temperate Northern Hemisphere (above 20° latitude). We contrasted the geographical distribution of moss species records and the latitude-species richness relation obtained under different data curation scenarios. These scenarios comprehend five sources of taxonomical standardisations and eight data cleaning filters. The analyses are based on the selection of well-surveyed cells at 100 km cell resolution. The application of some ‘data curation scenarios’ severely affects the number of records selected for analysis and substantially changes the proportion of richness per cell. The sensitivity to data curation becomes detectable at regional and at the cell scales showing a large shift in the latitudinal richness peak in Europe, from 60° N to 45° N latitude, when only preserved specimens are selected and duplicates based on date of collection and coordinates are excluded. Our results stress the importance of justifying the criteria used for filtering biodiversity data retrieved from biodiversity databases to avoid detecting misleading patterns. Curating records under particular criteria compromises the information in some areas displaying different spatial information of mosses. This problem can be ameliorated if data filtering is combined with identifying well-surveyed cells, render relatively constant results under different combinations of filtering even for less well-known groups such as mossesAgencia Estatal de Investigación, Grant/Award Number: MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033, PID2019-106840GB-C21 and PID2019-106840GA-C22; Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas; H2020 Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions, Grant/Award Number: 843234; Instituto Nacional de Ciência e Tecnologia em Ecologia, Evoluçao e Conservação da Biodiversidade (INCT-EECBio), Grant/Award Number: FAPEG 201810267000023 and MCTIC/CNPq 465610/2014-

Sistema Brasileiro de Combate ao Tráfico de Pessoas

O tráfico de pessoas sempre esteve presente na sociedade. Nos primórdios, inclusive, era prática institucionalizada e não possuía óbice por parte dos estados. Com o avançar do tempo e dos conceitos da humanidade, principalmente com o reconhecimento da universalidade dos direitos humanos, cada indivíduo passou a ser visto como um sujeito de direitos, o que ocasionou, inclusive, a abolição da escravidão nos mais diversos países. Todavia, a redução do ser humano à condição de coisa persiste, sendo o tráfico de pessoas o meio utilizado pelos criminosos para a exploração ilegal de pessoas, desde o trabalho forçado, à exploração sexual ou até mesmo o tráfico de órgãos. O presente trabalho tem o objetivo de fazer uma introdução ao estudo sobre o tráfico de pessoas, tendo enfoque voltado à realidade brasileira, buscando trazer uma compreensão de como o crime é realizado no território nacional e como o ordenamento jurídico pátrio lida com o delito.O tráfico de pessoas sempre esteve presente na sociedade. Nos primórdios, inclusive, era prática institucionalizada e não possuía óbice por parte dos estados. Com o avançar do tempo e dos conceitos da humanidade, principalmente com o reconhecimento da universalidade dos direitos humanos, cada indivíduo passou a ser visto como um sujeito de direitos, o que ocasionou, inclusive, a abolição da escravidão nos mais diversos países. Todavia, a redução do ser humano à condição de coisa persiste, sendo o tráfico de pessoas o meio utilizado pelos criminosos para a exploração ilegal de pessoas, desde o trabalho forçado, à exploração sexual ou até mesmo o tráfico de órgãos. O presente trabalho tem o objetivo de fazer uma introdução ao estudo sobre o tráfico de pessoas, tendo enfoque voltado à realidade brasileira, buscando trazer uma compreensão de como o crime é realizado no território nacional e como o ordenamento jurídico pátrio lida com o delito

Methods to estimate aboveground wood productivity from long-term forest inventory plots

Forest inventory plots are widely used to estimate biomass carbon storage and its change over time. While there has been much debate and exploration of the analytical methods for calculating biomass, the methods used to determine rates of wood production have not been evaluated to the same degree. This affects assessment of ecosystem fluxes and may have wider implications if inventory data are used to parameterise biospheric models, or scaled to large areas in assessments of carbon sequestration. Here we use a dataset of 35 long-term Amazonian forest inventory plots to test different methods of calculating wood production rates. These address potential biases associated with three issues that routinely impact the interpretation of tree measurement data: (1) changes in the point of measurement (POM) of stem diameter as trees grow over time; (2) unequal length of time between censuses; and (3) the treatment of trees that pass the minimum diameter threshold (“recruits”). We derive corrections that control for changing POM height, that account for the unobserved growth of trees that die within census intervals, and that explore different assumptions regarding the growth of recruits during the previous census interval. For our dataset we find that annual aboveground coarse wood production (AGWP; in Mg ha−1 year−1 of dry matter) is underestimated on average by 9.2% if corrections are not made to control for changes in POM height. Failure to control for the length of sampling intervals results in a mean underestimation of 2.7% in annual AGWP in our plots for a mean interval length of 3.6 years. Different methods for treating recruits result in mean differences of up to 8.1% in AGWP. In general, the greater the length of time a plot is sampled for and the greater the time elapsed between censuses, the greater the tendency to underestimate wood production. We recommend that POM changes, census interval length, and the contribution of recruits should all be accounted for when estimating productivity rates, and suggest methods for doing this.European UnionUK Natural Environment Research CouncilGordon and Betty Moore FoundationCASE sponsorship from UNEP-WCMCRoyal Society University Research FellowshipERC Advanced Grant “Tropical Forests in the Changing Earth System”Royal Society Wolfson Research Merit Awar

Seasonal drought limits tree species across the Neotropics

Within the tropics, the species richness of tree communities is strongly and positively associated with precipitation. Previous research has suggested that this macroecological pattern is driven by the negative effect of water-stress on the physiological processes of most tree species. This process implies that the range limits of taxa are defined by their ability to occur under dry conditions, and thus in terms of species distributions it predicts a nested pattern of taxa distribution from wet to dry areas. However, this ‘dry-tolerance’ hypothesis has yet to be adequately tested at large spatial and taxonomic scales. Here, using a dataset of 531 inventory plots of closed canopy forest distributed across the Western Neotropics we investigated how precipitation, evaluated both as mean annual precipitation and as the maximum climatological water deficit, influences the distribution of tropical tree species, genera and families. We find that the distributions of tree taxa are indeed nested along precipitation gradients in the western Neotropics. Taxa tolerant to seasonal drought are disproportionally widespread across the precipitation gradient, with most reaching even the wettest climates sampled; however, most taxa analysed are restricted to wet areas. Our results suggest that the ‘dry tolerance’ hypothesis has broad applicability in the world's most species-rich forests. In addition, the large number of species restricted to wetter conditions strongly indicates that an increased frequency of drought could severely threaten biodiversity in this region. Overall, this study establishes a baseline for exploring how tropical forest tree composition may change in response to current and future environmental changes in this region

Carbon uptake by mature Amazon forests has mitigated Amazon nations' carbon emissions

BACKGROUND: Several independent lines of evidence suggest that Amazon forests have provided a significant carbon sink service, and also that the Amazon carbon sink in intact, mature forests may now be threatened as a result of different processes. There has however been no work done to quantify non-land-use-change forest carbon fluxes on a national basis within Amazonia, or to place these national fluxes and their possible changes in the context of the major anthropogenic carbon fluxes in the region. Here we present a first attempt to interpret results from ground-based monitoring of mature forest carbon fluxes in a biogeographically, politically, and temporally differentiated way. Specifically, using results from a large long-term network of forest plots, we estimate the Amazon biomass carbon balance over the last three decades for the different regions and nine nations of Amazonia, and evaluate the magnitude and trajectory of these differentiated balances in relation to major national anthropogenic carbon emissions. RESULTS: The sink of carbon into mature forests has been remarkably geographically ubiquitous across Amazonia, being substantial and persistent in each of the five biogeographic regions within Amazonia. Between 1980 and 2010, it has more than mitigated the fossil fuel emissions of every single national economy, except that of Venezuela. For most nations (Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador, French Guiana, Guyana, Peru, Suriname) the sink has probably additionally mitigated all anthropogenic carbon emissions due to Amazon deforestation and other land use change. While the sink has weakened in some regions since 2000, our analysis suggests that Amazon nations which are able to conserve large areas of natural and semi-natural landscape still contribute globally-significant carbon sequestration. CONCLUSIONS: Mature forests across all of Amazonia have contributed significantly to mitigating climate change for decades. Yet Amazon nations have not directly benefited from providing this global scale ecosystem service. We suggest that better monitoring and reporting of the carbon fluxes within mature forests, and understanding the drivers of changes in their balance, must become national, as well as international, priorities

Variation in stem mortality rates determines patterns of above-ground biomass in Amazonian forests: implications for dynamic global vegetation models

Understanding the processes that determine above-ground biomass (AGB) in Amazonian forests is important for predicting the sensitivity of these ecosystems to environmental change and for designing and evaluating dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs). AGB is determined by inputs from woody productivity [woody net primary productivity (NPP)] and the rate at which carbon is lost through tree mortality. Here, we test whether two direct metrics of tree mortality (the absolute rate of woody biomass loss and the rate of stem mortality) and/or woody NPP, control variation in AGB among 167 plots in intact forest across Amazonia. We then compare these relationships and the observed variation in AGB and woody NPP with the predictions of four DGVMs. The observations show that stem mortality rates, rather than absolute rates of woody biomass loss, are the most important predictor of AGB, which is consistent with the importance of stand size structure for determining spatial variation in AGB. The relationship between stem mortality rates and AGB varies among different regions of Amazonia, indicating that variation in wood density and height/diameter relationships also influences AGB. In contrast to previous findings, we find that woody NPP is not correlated with stem mortality rates and is weakly positively correlated with AGB. Across the four models, basin-wide average AGB is similar to the mean of the observations. However, the models consistently overestimate woody NPP and poorly represent the spatial patterns of both AGB and woody NPP estimated using plot data. In marked contrast to the observations, DGVMs typically show strong positive relationships between woody NPP and AGB. Resolving these differences will require incorporating forest size structure, mechanistic models of stem mortality and variation in functional composition in DGVMs