Estimating the burden of antimicrobial resistance: a systematic literature review.

Background: Accurate estimates of the burden of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) are needed to establish the magnitude of this global threat in terms of both health and cost, and to paramaterise cost-effectiveness evaluations of interventions aiming to tackle the problem. This review aimed to establish the alternative methodologies used in estimating AMR burden in order to appraise the current evidence base. Methods: MEDLINE, EMBASE, Scopus, EconLit, PubMed and grey literature were searched. English language studies evaluating the impact of AMR (from any microbe) on patient, payer/provider and economic burden published between January 2013 and December 2015 were included. Independent screening of title/abstracts followed by full texts was performed using pre-specified criteria. A study quality score (from zero to one) was derived using Newcastle-Ottawa and Philips checklists. Extracted study data were used to compare study method and resulting burden estimate, according to perspective. Monetary costs were converted into 2013 USD. Results: Out of 5187 unique retrievals, 214 studies were included. One hundred eighty-seven studies estimated patient health, 75 studies estimated payer/provider and 11 studies estimated economic burden. 64% of included studies were single centre. The majority of studies estimating patient or provider/payer burden used regression techniques. 48% of studies estimating mortality burden found a significant impact from resistance, excess healthcare system costs ranged from non-significance to $1 billion per year, whilst economic burden ranged from$21,832 per case to over $3 trillion in GDP loss. Median quality scores (interquartile range) for patient, payer/provider and economic burden studies were 0.67 (0.56-0.67), 0.56 (0.46-0.67) and 0.53 (0.44-0.60) respectively. Conclusions: This study highlights what methodological assumptions and biases can occur dependent on chosen outcome and perspective. Currently, there is considerable variability in burden estimates, which can lead in-turn to inaccurate intervention evaluations and poor policy/investment decisions. Future research should utilise the recommendations presented in this review. Trial registration: This systematic review is registered with PROSPERO (PROSPERO CRD42016037510)

Myocardial Recovery in Recent Onset Dilated Cardiomyopathy: Role of CDCP1 and Cardiac Fibrosis

Background: Dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) is a major cause of heart failure and carries a high mortality rate. Myocardial recovery in DCM-related heart failure patients is highly variable, with some patients having little or no response to standard drug therapy. A genome-wide association study may agnostically identify biomarkers and provide novel insight into the biology of myocardial recovery in DCM. Methods: A genome-wide association study for change in left ventricular ejection fraction was performed in 686 White subjects with recent-onset DCM who received standard pharmacotherapy. Genome-wide association study signals were subsequently functionally validated and studied in relevant cellular models to understand molecular mechanisms that may have contributed to the change in left ventricular ejection fraction. Results: The genome-wide association study identified a highly suggestive locus that mapped to the 5'-flanking region of the CDCP1 (CUB [complement C1r/C1s, Uegf, and Bmp1] domain containing protein 1) gene (rs6773435; P=7.12×10-7). The variant allele was associated with improved cardiac function and decreased CDCP1 transcription. CDCP1 expression was significantly upregulated in human cardiac fibroblasts (HCFs) in response to the PDGF (platelet-derived growth factor) signaling, and knockdown of CDCP1 significantly repressed HCF proliferation and decreased AKT (protein kinase B) phosphorylation. Transcriptomic profiling after CDCP1 knockdown in HCFs supported the conclusion that CDCP1 regulates HCF proliferation and mitosis. In addition, CDCP1 knockdown in HCFs resulted in significantly decreased expression of soluble ST2 (suppression of tumorigenicity-2), a prognostic biomarker for heart failure and inductor of cardiac fibrosis. Conclusions: CDCP1 may play an important role in myocardial recovery in recent-onset DCM and mediates its effect primarily by attenuating cardiac fibrosis