199 research outputs found

    Demographic changes mean that traditional Republican constituencies are shrinking as the Democrats’ grow

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    Barack Obama’s 2008 election victory, aided by Latino and other minority votes, left little doubt of the importance of demographic changes in America. Using survey data for the past six decades, Josh Zingher investigates just how group membership affects voting behavior, and how has this changed over time. He finds that while some groups have been stable voters for the past 60 years, such as African Americans for the Democrats, and whites for the Republicans, other groups’ leanings have changed considerably. He argues that the growth in the proportion of pro-Democratic groups such as Latinos and college graduates, and the shrinking population of Republican supporters, such as Protestants and churchgoers, mean that the Republican Party must now seek new sources of support if it is to be electorally successful in the future

    Increasing ethnic minority representation: why both political parties and electoral districts matter

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    National parliaments in Western democracies remain far whiter than the increasingly diverse populations they represent. Benjamin Farrer (Knox College) and Josh Zingher (Old Dominion University) find that the explanation for this lies in the interaction of local demographics and political parties, and that as a result centre-left parties in the US, UK and Australia have been more successful at getting ethnic minority candidates elected

    The electoral effects of the descriptive representation of ethnic minority groups in Australia and the UK

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    In this article we assess the electoral effects of the nomination of ethnic minority candidates. We argue that descriptive representation is an important factor in how parties in SMD systems establish their coalitions over multiple elections. We demonstrate this by showing that descriptive representation has a consistent effect on voting behavior, and thus that parties can rely on descriptive representation to win over specific segments of the voting population. Previous studies have been limited to single election years and single countries, but we collect original data from multiple election cycles in Australia and the UK to test our argument. We find that descriptive representation is consistently associated with a 10-percentage point bump in support from ethnic minority independents and Labour supporters. We conclude by highlighting the importance of this finding for party competition.Yeshttps://us.sagepub.com/en-us/nam/manuscript-submission-guideline

    The behavior in implant treatment in mandible depending on available bone

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    Catedra Chirurgie oro-maxilo-facială şi Implantologie Orală “Arsenie Guţan” USMF „Nicolae Testemiţanu”The implant-prosthetic rehabilitation of patients can be assigned to the modern methods of treatment in dentistry. The variety of methods as well as divers clinical situations especially with bone atrophy can create difficulties in the orientation of specialists in choosing the implant treatment. Comparative analysis was performed using clinical and laboratory parameters of a group of 29 patients to determine the optimal methods and techniques of implantation. An algorithm of behavior based on this study was performed in order to guide the young specialist in choosing the optimal method of implantation. Reabilitarea implanto-protetică a pacienților se poate atribui la metodele moderne de tratament stomatologic. Multitudinea metodelor precum şi a situaţiilor clinice diverse îndeosebi cu atrofii crează dificultăţi pentru orientarea specialişilor în tratamentul implantologic. A fost efectuată caracteristica comparativă a indicilor clinici și paraclinici, la un grup de 29 pacienți, pentru determinarea metodelor și tehnicilor optimale de implantare. În urma studiului a fost elaborat un algoritm de conduită în alegerea metodei de implantare în dependență de oferta osoasă

    Documenting the Unauthorized: Political Responses to Unauthorized Immigration

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    Cultural prejudice rather than self interest is the conventional wisdom for why voters respond negatively to immigration. Using a new measure of unauthorized immigrants based on self-reported invalid social security numbers, we show that voters' responses are more nuanced than mere prejudice against minorities. Using county level data from the U.S. state of Georgia, we find that voters in counties with above median levels of unauthorized workers are more likely to support the Republican party. We also find that wealthier counties and wealthier voters are most likely to respond negatively to the unauthorized. Our evidence warns against arguments that depict opposition to immigration as motivated solely by xenophobia and cultural fears among lower income whites

    Replication Data for: Polarization, Demographic Change, and White Flight from the Democratic Party

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    Whites have become decreasingly likely to support the Democratic Party. I show this shift is being driven by two mechanisms. The first mechanism is the process of ideological sorting. The Democratic Party has lost support among conservative whites because the relationships between partisanship, voting behavior, and policy orientations have strengthened. The second mechanism relates to demographic changes. The growth of liberal minority populations has shifted the median position on economic issues to the left and away from the median white citizen’s position. The parties have responded to these changes by shifting their positions and whites have become less likely to support the Democratic Party as a result. I test these explanations using 40 years of ANES and DW-NOMINATE data. I find that whites have become 7.7-points more likely vote for the Republican Party and mean white partisanship has shifted .25 points in favor of the Republicans as a combined result of both mechanisms

    Replication Data for: Diploma Divide: Educational Attainment and the Realignment of the American Electorate

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    ANES Adjusted is the ANES cumulative file with some variables renamed and economic and social policy scales added at the end of the file ANES Realignment.do replicates the ANES portion of the analysis The cumulative_2006-2020 is the CES cumulative file The CCES Analysis Replication.do replicates the CES analysis. The County Level for Merge is county level data necessary to do the CES contextual analysis

    State Level Immigration Legislation as Party Strategy

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